CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCEOffseason Report
Published data: Sep 15, 9:29 PM PT
A weekly, data-backed preparation report for NBA. Daily betting categories return when the sport enters its active season.
What the latest verified season says
30 teams or competitors · 459 unique completed events · 155 events with archived DraftKings markets. Results use the latest available records before this edition.
Strongest recent scoring margins
| Team | Games | Scored | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Houston Rockets | 10 | 123.6 | +15.2 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 10 | 124.2 | +13.6 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 10 | 118.3 | +13.1 |
| Toronto Raptors | 10 | 119.8 | +12.2 |
| Detroit Pistons | 10 | 119.9 | +11.8 |
| Boston Celtics | 10 | 119.6 | +11.2 |
| Denver Nuggets | 10 | 131.2 | +10.5 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder | 10 | 121.1 | +10.3 |
Best verified recent cover records
| Team | ATS | Streak | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Boston Celtics | 8-2-0 | ↑ 2 | 10/10 |
| Indiana Pacers | 8-2-0 | ↑ 3 | 10/10 |
| Detroit Pistons | 7-3-0 | ↓ 1 | 10/10 |
| Portland Trail Blazers | 7-3-0 | ↓ 1 | 10/10 |
| Sacramento Kings | 7-3-0 | ↑ 3 | 10/10 |
| Houston Rockets | 6-4-0 | ↑ 1 | 10/10 |
| Minnesota Timberwolves | 6-4-0 | ↑ 2 | 10/10 |
| San Antonio Spurs | 6-4-0 | ↓ 1 | 10/10 |
$100 flat-stake ROI baselines
Moneyline leaders
Denver Nuggets · 10-0-0 · +63.8% · $1000 risked
Boston Celtics · 8-2-0 · +61.8% · $1000 risked
Sacramento Kings · 3-7-0 · +40.5% · $1000 risked
Detroit Pistons · 8-2-0 · +28.5% · $1000 risked
Houston Rockets · 9-1-0 · +24.3% · $1000 risked
Minnesota Timberwolves · 5-5-0 · +7.7% · $1000 risked
San Antonio Spurs · 8-2-0 · +4.1% · $1000 risked
Los Angeles Lakers · 7-3-0 · +2.9% · $1000 risked
Spread leaders
Indiana Pacers · 8-2-0 · +54.9% · $1000 risked
Boston Celtics · 8-2-0 · +53.9% · $1000 risked
Sacramento Kings · 7-3-0 · +35.4% · $1000 risked
Detroit Pistons · 7-3-0 · +34.5% · $1000 risked
Portland Trail Blazers · 7-3-0 · +33.2% · $1000 risked
Minnesota Timberwolves · 6-4-0 · +14.4% · $1000 risked
Toronto Raptors · 6-4-0 · +14.0% · $1000 risked
San Antonio Spurs · 6-4-0 · +13.8% · $1000 risked
Carry-forward trends to recheck
Washington Wizards lost its latest 10 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -18.1. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.
Denver Nuggets has won 10 consecutive completed games. The team averaged 131.2 scored and 120.7 allowed over that stretch. A hot team can still be overpriced. Compare its fair line with the current market.
Memphis Grizzlies lost its latest 8 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -24.4. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.
Denver Nuggets's latest 5 games finished over the archived DraftKings total. Missing lines and pushes break this streak. The current total may already reflect this run. Historical hit rate is not a forecast.
Memphis Grizzlies's latest 5 games finished over the archived DraftKings total. Missing lines and pushes break this streak. The current total may already reflect this run. Historical hit rate is not a forecast.
Los Angeles Lakers's latest 4 games finished under the archived DraftKings total. Missing lines and pushes break this streak. The current total may already reflect this run. Historical hit rate is not a forecast.
Brooklyn Nets lost its latest 3 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -27.0. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.
Charlotte Hornets's latest 3 games finished under the archived DraftKings total. Missing lines and pushes break this streak. The current total may already reflect this run. Historical hit rate is not a forecast.
How to use this report
These are historical baselines for preseason preparation, not current wagers. Roster changes, coaching changes, injuries, schedules and market repricing can invalidate prior-season patterns. The active daily categories return automatically when the configured season window opens.
Edition coverage and sources
30 teams · 30 team histories · 155 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.
Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.