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NBA · OFFSEASON

Offseason Report

2026-09-16 · Updated weekly
Published data: Sep 15, 9:29 PM PT

A weekly, data-backed preparation report for NBA. Daily betting categories return when the sport enters its active season.

WEEKLY PRESEASON BASELINE

What the latest verified season says

30 teams or competitors · 459 unique completed events · 155 events with archived DraftKings markets. Results use the latest available records before this edition.

SCORING & FORM BASELINE

Strongest recent scoring margins

TeamGamesScoredMargin
Houston Rockets10123.6+15.2
San Antonio Spurs10124.2+13.6
Portland Trail Blazers10118.3+13.1
Toronto Raptors10119.8+12.2
Detroit Pistons10119.9+11.8
Boston Celtics10119.6+11.2
Denver Nuggets10131.2+10.5
Oklahoma City Thunder10121.1+10.3
ATS BASELINE

Best verified recent cover records

TeamATSStreakVerified
Boston Celtics8-2-0↑ 210/10
Indiana Pacers8-2-0↑ 310/10
Detroit Pistons7-3-0↓ 110/10
Portland Trail Blazers7-3-0↓ 110/10
Sacramento Kings7-3-0↑ 310/10
Houston Rockets6-4-0↑ 110/10
Minnesota Timberwolves6-4-0↑ 210/10
San Antonio Spurs6-4-0↓ 110/10
PRICE PERFORMANCE

$100 flat-stake ROI baselines

Moneyline leaders

Denver Nuggets · 10-0-0 · +63.8% · $1000 risked

Boston Celtics · 8-2-0 · +61.8% · $1000 risked

Sacramento Kings · 3-7-0 · +40.5% · $1000 risked

Detroit Pistons · 8-2-0 · +28.5% · $1000 risked

Houston Rockets · 9-1-0 · +24.3% · $1000 risked

Minnesota Timberwolves · 5-5-0 · +7.7% · $1000 risked

San Antonio Spurs · 8-2-0 · +4.1% · $1000 risked

Los Angeles Lakers · 7-3-0 · +2.9% · $1000 risked

Spread leaders

Indiana Pacers · 8-2-0 · +54.9% · $1000 risked

Boston Celtics · 8-2-0 · +53.9% · $1000 risked

Sacramento Kings · 7-3-0 · +35.4% · $1000 risked

Detroit Pistons · 7-3-0 · +34.5% · $1000 risked

Portland Trail Blazers · 7-3-0 · +33.2% · $1000 risked

Minnesota Timberwolves · 6-4-0 · +14.4% · $1000 risked

Toronto Raptors · 6-4-0 · +14.0% · $1000 risked

San Antonio Spurs · 6-4-0 · +13.8% · $1000 risked

PRESEASON WATCH FILE

Carry-forward trends to recheck

Washington Wizards: 10 straight losses

Washington Wizards lost its latest 10 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -18.1. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.

Denver Nuggets: 10 straight wins

Denver Nuggets has won 10 consecutive completed games. The team averaged 131.2 scored and 120.7 allowed over that stretch. A hot team can still be overpriced. Compare its fair line with the current market.

Memphis Grizzlies: 8 straight losses

Memphis Grizzlies lost its latest 8 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -24.4. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.

Denver Nuggets: 5 straight overs

Denver Nuggets's latest 5 games finished over the archived DraftKings total. Missing lines and pushes break this streak. The current total may already reflect this run. Historical hit rate is not a forecast.

Memphis Grizzlies: 5 straight overs

Memphis Grizzlies's latest 5 games finished over the archived DraftKings total. Missing lines and pushes break this streak. The current total may already reflect this run. Historical hit rate is not a forecast.

Los Angeles Lakers: 4 straight unders

Los Angeles Lakers's latest 4 games finished under the archived DraftKings total. Missing lines and pushes break this streak. The current total may already reflect this run. Historical hit rate is not a forecast.

Brooklyn Nets: 3 straight losses

Brooklyn Nets lost its latest 3 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -27.0. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.

Charlotte Hornets: 3 straight unders

Charlotte Hornets's latest 3 games finished under the archived DraftKings total. Missing lines and pushes break this streak. The current total may already reflect this run. Historical hit rate is not a forecast.

How to use this report

These are historical baselines for preseason preparation, not current wagers. Roster changes, coaching changes, injuries, schedules and market repricing can invalidate prior-season patterns. The active daily categories return automatically when the configured season window opens.

Edition coverage and sources

30 teams · 30 team histories · 155 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.

Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.