CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCEOffseason Report
Published data: Sep 15, 9:31 PM PT
A weekly, data-backed preparation report for NCAAB. Daily betting categories return when the sport enters its active season.
What the latest verified season says
362 teams or competitors · 5746 unique completed events · 1929 events with archived DraftKings markets. Results use the latest available records before this edition.
Strongest recent scoring margins
| Team | Games | Scored | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Howard Bison | 10 | 84.2 | +19.0 |
| Duke Blue Devils | 10 | 80.9 | +18.6 |
| UMBC Retrievers | 10 | 79.8 | +18.2 |
| High Point Panthers | 10 | 86.2 | +15.9 |
| South Florida Bulls | 10 | 81.6 | +15.1 |
| St. Thomas Tommies | 10 | 84.4 | +15.0 |
| Florida Gators | 10 | 88.0 | +14.1 |
| Akron Zips | 10 | 85.6 | +13.8 |
Best verified recent cover records
| Team | ATS | Streak | Verified |
|---|---|---|---|
| Prairie View A&M Panthers | 10-0-0 | ↑ 10 | 10/10 |
| Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs | 9-1-0 | ↑ 9 | 10/10 |
| Howard Bison | 9-1-0 | ↓ 1 | 10/10 |
| Pennsylvania Quakers | 9-1-0 | ↑ 8 | 10/10 |
| UMBC Retrievers | 9-1-0 | ↑ 6 | 10/10 |
| Boston University Terriers | 8-2-0 | ↓ 1 | 10/10 |
| Detroit Mercy Titans | 8-2-0 | ↑ 4 | 10/10 |
| Eastern Washington Eagles | 8-2-0 | ↓ 1 | 10/10 |
$100 flat-stake ROI baselines
Moneyline leaders
Portland Pilots · 5-5-0 · +176.8% · $1000 risked
Pennsylvania Quakers · 9-1-0 · +119.8% · $1000 risked
Detroit Mercy Titans · 7-3-0 · +111.0% · $1000 risked
Ole Miss Rebels · 4-6-0 · +79.5% · $1000 risked
Denver Pioneers · 6-4-0 · +79.2% · $1000 risked
Harvard Crimson · 7-3-0 · +74.2% · $1000 risked
TCU Horned Frogs · 8-2-0 · +74.1% · $1000 risked
San José State Spartans · 3-7-0 · +73.4% · $1000 risked
Spread leaders
Prairie View A&M Panthers · 10-0-0 · +90.2% · $1000 risked
Gardner-Webb Runnin' Bulldogs · 9-1-0 · +72.7% · $1000 risked
Pennsylvania Quakers · 9-1-0 · +72.7% · $1000 risked
UMBC Retrievers · 9-1-0 · +72.1% · $1000 risked
Howard Bison · 9-1-0 · +71.8% · $1000 risked
Ohio State Buckeyes · 8-2-0 · +54.1% · $1000 risked
Robert Morris Colonials · 8-2-0 · +53.9% · $1000 risked
Detroit Mercy Titans · 8-2-0 · +53.5% · $1000 risked
Carry-forward trends to recheck
Air Force Falcons lost its latest 10 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -22.9. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.
Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners lost its latest 10 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -13.8. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets lost its latest 10 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -14.1. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.
Kansas City Roos lost its latest 10 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -21.0. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.
VMI Keydets lost its latest 10 completed games in the observed sample. Its average scoring margin over that run is -14.9. A losing streak alone does not make a rebound more likely. Check today's matchup and offered price in Falling Knife.
Akron Zips has won 10 consecutive completed games. The team averaged 85.6 scored and 71.8 allowed over that stretch. A hot team can still be overpriced. Compare its fair line with the current market.
Duke Blue Devils has won 10 consecutive completed games. The team averaged 80.9 scored and 62.3 allowed over that stretch. A hot team can still be overpriced. Compare its fair line with the current market.
High Point Panthers has won 10 consecutive completed games. The team averaged 86.2 scored and 70.3 allowed over that stretch. A hot team can still be overpriced. Compare its fair line with the current market.
How to use this report
These are historical baselines for preseason preparation, not current wagers. Roster changes, coaching changes, injuries, schedules and market repricing can invalidate prior-season patterns. The active daily categories return automatically when the configured season window opens.
Edition coverage and sources
362 teams · 362 team histories · 1929 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.
Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.