CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCELive rows use the current schedule and market feed. They are research observations, not published official positions.
Market checked Sep 30, 5:44 PM PT · refreshes every 15 minutes
Losing streaks of three or more games, with the next matchup and the price test for a rebound or a fade.
Average scoring margin: -2.4 over this run.
Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs
The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -1.8 over this run.
Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche
Baseline simulated rebound return: +$10.75 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -1.8 over this run.
Los Angeles Kings at Colorado Avalanche
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$12.25 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -2.8 over this run.
Montreal Canadiens at Pittsburgh Penguins
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$8.96 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -1.5 over this run.
Ottawa Senators at Toronto Maple Leafs
The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -2.0 over this run.
Philadelphia Flyers at New Jersey Devils
Baseline simulated rebound return: +$22.58 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -4.3 over this run.
Boston Bruins at Winnipeg Jets
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$9.42 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -2.0 over this run.
St. Louis Blues at Dallas Stars
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$33.93 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -3.3 over this run.
New York Rangers at Detroit Red Wings
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$30.66 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -2.3 over this run.
New Jersey Devils at New York Islanders
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$14.87 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -2.3 over this run.
Seattle Kraken at Calgary Flames
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$16.28 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -2.0 over this run.
Chicago Blackhawks at Utah Mammoth
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$12.89 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -2.3 over this run.
Anaheim Ducks at Vegas Golden Knights
The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
32 teams · 32 team histories · 249 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.
Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Los Angeles Kings
Colorado Avalanche
Montreal Canadiens
Ottawa Senators
Philadelphia Flyers
Winnipeg Jets
Dallas Stars
Detroit Red Wings
New York Islanders
Seattle Kraken
Utah Mammoth
Vegas Golden Knights