CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCEAI Capper Report
Historical model baseline: Sep 17, 8:55 AM PT
Live rows use the current schedule and market feed. They are research observations, not published official positions.
Market checked Sep 30, 5:44 PM PT · refreshes every 15 minutes
Green = favorable model discrepancy; red = unfavorable. Sort uses probability points for ML and scoring points for other markets. Estimates are experimental, not calibrated betting recommendations.
How the projection is calculated
10,000 seeded matchup simulations from chronological Elo-style ratings built only from verified results. Tennis requires five captured matches per player; UFC requires three fights. Bookmaker prices are excluded from the rating.
ML is a model fair price. This baseline does not yet adjust for confirmed lineups, injuries, starters, surface, weight cuts, pace or weather and has no verified predictive track record. Missing sportsbook quotes are never manufactured.
Edition coverage and sources
34 scheduled competitors · 34 team histories · 0 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.
Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.
Verified result histories are connected. Archived sportsbook prices and handicap lines are not supplied by this feed, so price-dependent cells remain unavailable.