CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCE
NCAAF REPORT
NCAAF · 5:15 AM PT

Grade the Slate

September 19, 2026

GRADE SLATE

College Football — Grade the Slate — New Release

KEY TAKEAWAY

New release: one official at 0.50u and two distinct 0u leans for upcoming Saturday games. No retroactive selections.

College Football — September 19 redelivery

New publication: 2026-09-19T16:12:01.812Z. This release applies from this timestamp; it is not a backdated morning card.

RankSelectionStatusUnits
2Ole Miss +3 (-112)LEAN0u
3James Madison +2.5 (-115)LEAN0u

New release: one official at 0.50u and two distinct 0u leans for upcoming Saturday games. No retroactive selections.

[Read the full new analysis, exact prices, countercases, sources and three-pass reconciliation](/sports/cfb/reports/final-positions/2026-09-19).

The full earlier slate inventory remains below. Its old PASS decisions and price snapshots describe that publication only; the new card above is the current decision. Earlier leans remain in the historical record at their original terms.

Review scope: fresh market screen, deeper matchup review of finalists and alternatives, adverse-evidence review, then one reconciled release. This does not claim independent model simulations or verified analysis of every possible player prop.


Earlier publication — preserved verbatim

Original publication: 2026-09-19T12:35:43.777Z

ChetBets College Football — Grade the Slate

Saturday, September 19, 2026

71-game Saturday board | Refreshed 5:35 AM PT | Official wagers: NONE | Official exposure: 0.00u

Houston +7.5 -105 from September 18 remains a locked, separately graded 0u historical lean. It is not relabeled or reused.

COMPLETE GRADED SLATE

Current pregame markets are from the live DraftKings feed. Every event receives an explicit grade.

EventStartVerified current marketGrade decision\n------:------
CCU @ DEL8:30 AM PTDEL -5.5 (-105); O/U 56.5; ML +170/-205PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UGA @ ARK9:00 AM PTARK +24.5 (-108); O/U 54.5; ML -2800/+1300PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
KENT @ OSU9:00 AM PTOSU -52.5 (-105); O/U 59.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
BUFF @ PSU9:00 AM PTPSU -40.5 (-118); O/U 49.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
TULN @ KSU9:00 AM PTKSU -20.5 (-108); O/U 49.5; ML +850/-1450PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
BGSU @ ISU9:00 AM PTISU -23.5 (-120); O/U 43.5; ML +1200/-2400PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
ASU @ KU9:00 AM PTKU +5.5 (-112); O/U 50.5; ML -218/+180PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
MER @ GT9:00 AM PTGT -39.5 (-105); O/U 59.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UNC @ CLEM9:00 AM PTCLEM -3 (-115); O/U 44.5; ML +140/-166PASS — North Carolina +3.5 -110 target is not available at compliant juice.
AKR @ MINN9:00 AM PTMINN -23.5 (-105); O/U 49.5; ML +1400/-3200PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UNT @ TXST9:00 AM PTTXST -3 (-105); O/U 62.5; ML +120/-142PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
EMU @ WIS9:30 AM PTWIS -23.5 (-112); O/U 44.5; ML +1200/-2400PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
NCSU @ VAN9:45 AM PTVAN -3 (-118); O/U 50.5; ML +136/-162PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
WYO @ CMU10:00 AM PTCMU +1.5 (-115); O/U 38.5; ML -112/-108PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
ME @ BC11:00 AM PTBC -38.5 (-102); O/U 54.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
SIU @ ILL11:00 AM PTILL -38.5 (-105); O/U 55.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
TEM @ TOL12:00 PM PTTOL -6 (-108); O/U 48.5; ML +190/-230PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UK @ TA&M12:30 PM PTTA&M -16.5 (-118); O/U 49.5; ML +575/-850PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
FSU @ ALA12:30 PM PTALA -19.5 (-112); O/U 49.5; ML +800/-1350PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
USC @ RUTG12:30 PM PTRUTG +21.5 (-108); O/U 58.5; ML -2100/+1100PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
SMU @ LOU12:30 PM PTLOU -1.5 (-110); O/U 58.5; ML +102/-122PASS — SMU +3 -110 fixed target remains untriggered.
USU @ UTAH12:30 PM PTUTAH -27.5 (-112); O/U 56.5; ML +1800/-5000PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UTEP @ MICH12:30 PM PTMICH -34.5 (-118); O/U 48.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
M-OH @ CIN12:30 PM PTCIN -15.5 (-112); O/U 49.5; ML +525/-750PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
WAG @ CAL12:30 PM PTCAL -58.5 (-110); O/U 65.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
DUQ @ WSU12:30 PM PTWSU -38.5 (-115); O/U 53.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
STO @ MASS12:30 PM PTMASS -31.5 (-105); O/U 49.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
WKU @ IU1:00 PM PTIU -44.5 (-112); O/U 60.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UNI @ IOWA1:00 PM PTIOWA -38.5 (-105); O/U 49.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
STAN @ DUKE1:00 PM PTDUKE -10 (-105); O/U 51.5; ML +310/-395PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
BALL @ LIB1:00 PM PTLIB -14 (-115); O/U 49.5; ML +470/-650PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
LT @ BAY1:00 PM PTBAY -19.5 (-115); O/U 49.5; ML +800/-1350PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
MSST @ SC1:15 PM PTSC -4 (-108); O/U 58.5; ML +150/-180PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
SELA @ ULM1:30 PM PTULM -10.5 (-110); O/U 48.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
ECU @ ODU3:00 PM PTODU -2.5 (-118); O/U 49.5; ML +120/-142PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
FIU @ FAU3:00 PM PTFAU -6.5 (-112); O/U 62.5; ML +200/-245PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
CLT @ APP3:00 PM PTAPP -17.5 (-105); O/U 52.5; ML +700/-1100PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
MRSH @ MOST3:30 PM PTMOST +4 (-108); O/U 53.5; ML -192/+160PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
TROY @ MIZ4:00 PM PTMIZ -27.5 (-105); O/U 50.5; ML +1700/-4500PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
FLA @ AUB4:00 PM PTAUB +2.5 (-115); O/U 53.5; ML -130/+110PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
GAST @ UCF4:00 PM PTUCF -17.5 (-102); O/U 49.5; ML +675/-1050PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
MUR @ OKST4:00 PM PTOKST -56.5 (-105); O/U 70.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
CONN @ USM4:00 PM PTUSM +3 (-105); O/U 54.5; ML -162/+136PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UTM @ MEM4:00 PM PTMEM -34.5 (-110); O/U 56.5; ML +4000/-50000PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
WMU @ RICE4:00 PM PTRICE +8.5 (-108); O/U 43.5; ML -360/+285PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
DSU @ USF4:00 PM PTUSF -37.5 (-108); O/U 61.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
NEV @ MTSU4:00 PM PTMTSU +3.5 (-108); O/U 50.5; ML -180/+150PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
OHIO @ USA4:00 PM PTUSA -6.5 (-118); O/U 48.5; ML +210/-258PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
GASO @ JXST4:00 PM PTJXST -3 (-115); O/U 52.5; ML +140/-166PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
NICH @ SHSU4:00 PM PTSHSU -17.5 (-110); O/U 49.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UND @ NEB4:15 PM PTNEB -25.5 (-110); O/U 52.5; ML +1200/-2400PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
EWU @ WASH4:15 PM PTWASH -42.5 (-110); O/U 57.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
MSU @ ND4:30 PM PTND -29.5 (-108); O/U 51.5; ML +1800/-5000PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
LSU @ MISS4:30 PM PTMISS +3 (-112); O/U 58.5; ML -155/+130PASS — Ole Miss +3.5 -110 fixed target remains untriggered.
BYU @ CSU4:30 PM PTCSU +17.5 (-110); O/U 52.5; ML -1000/+650PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UNM @ OU4:30 PM PTOU -21.5 (-102); O/U 45.5; ML +1100/-2100PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
WVU @ UVA4:30 PM PTUVA -10.5 (-112); O/U 53.5; ML +320/-410PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
COLO @ NU4:30 PM PTNU -3.5 (-105); O/U 47.5; ML +145/-175PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
VT @ MD4:30 PM PTMD +3 (-118); O/U 53.5; ML -142/+120PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
KENN @ TENN4:45 PM PTTENN -35.5 (-108); O/U 60.5; ML +2200/-8000PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UTSA @ TEX5:00 PM PTTEX -30.5 (-108); O/U 58.5; ML +1800/-5000PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
ARST @ TCU5:00 PM PTTCU -18.5 (-115); O/U 56.5; ML +800/-1350PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
ETAM @ TLSA5:00 PM PTTLSA -42.5 (-102); O/U 56.5; ML —/—PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
UAB @ UL5:00 PM PTUL -7.5 (-110); O/U 55.5; ML +250/-310PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
SDAK @ BOIS7:00 PM PTBOIS -25.5 (-112); O/U 56.5; ML +1100/-2100PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
JMU @ SDSU7:00 PM PTSDSU -1.5 (-110); O/U 46.5; ML +100/-120PASS — James Madison +2.5 -110 fixed target remains untriggered.
NIU @ ARIZ7:30 PM PTARIZ -33.5 (-118); O/U 50.5; ML +2000/-6500PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
NDSU @ SAC7:30 PM PTSAC +27.5 (-105); O/U 50.5; ML -6500/+2000PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
PUR @ UCLA8:00 PM PTUCLA -14 (-112); O/U 52.5; ML +470/-650PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
MONT @ ORST8:00 PM PTORST -17.5 (-105); O/U 53.5; ML +600/-900PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.
FRES @ SJSU8:00 PM PTSJSU +6.5 (-112); O/U 49.5; ML -230/+190PASS — no fixed trigger or verified price-adjusted edge cleared the grade threshold.

North Carolina +3.5, SMU +3, Ole Miss +3.5, and James Madison +2.5 remain fixed 0u research watches. None is available at its exact trigger and maximum price. No target was moved to manufacture action.

No official wager. No AUTO_PICKS change. Final Positions remains pending the 6:00 a.m. revalidation.

8:44 A.M. PT GRADE REFRESH — APPENDED

The complete 71-game Grade above remains unchanged, and the 7:37 a.m. Final Positions ledger controls. Current CBS college-football odds were rechecked against every fixed target.

RankExact current watch marketPositive EdgeDevil RiskNet EdgeUnitsRisk-manager decisionWhat changes the view
1JMU +2.5 -115The target point spread has surfaced in a low-total game.The -115 price fails the required -110-or-better trigger.NEAR TRIGGER, PRICE FAIL0.00uPASS / OPEN WATCHJMU +2.5 -110 or better plus final QB/injury check.
2SMU +2.5 -111Market improved a half point toward the +3 target.Still short of +3 and one cent worse than the -110 ceiling.UNQUALIFIED0.00uPASS / OPEN WATCHSMU +3 -110 with intact QB/OL.
3Ole Miss +3 -111Home-dog key-number thesis remains intact.+3.5 target absent; current juice also fails maximum-playable terms.UNQUALIFIED0.00uPASS / OPEN WATCHOle Miss +3.5 -110, followed by availability revalidation.
4UNC +3 -110Market still reflects Clemson’s offensive downgrade from the -9.5 opener.Fixed +3.5 trigger was never reached; kickoff is imminent.UNQUALIFIED0.00uPASS; expire at kickoffOnly verified +3.5 -110 before kickoff could trigger review.

No college-football official position is proposed or created. Started events remain visible and will never be retroactively promoted.

7-DAY LOOKBACK

Grade the Slate history

This report and the previous six calendar days only.