CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCE
MLB
Know-It-All Reports
MLB · KNOW-IT-ALL REPORTS

Line Mover Report

LIVE RESEARCH FEED · 2026-09-30 · Refreshes every 15 minutes
Historical model baseline: Sep 17, 8:53 AM PT

Live rows use the current schedule and market feed. They are research observations, not published official positions.

Market checked Sep 30, 5:44 PM PT · refreshes every 15 minutes

DraftKings opening line → latest retrieved pre-game line. Historical comparisons use the same team, direction, and moves between 50% and 150% of today’s magnitude, within up to 30 captured games. Small samples are descriptive, not validated signals.

Moneyline · Atlanta Braves

Philadelphia Phillies at Atlanta Braves

-114 → -104

-2.3 implied-probability pp

Atlanta Braves's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.

Comparable recorded moves

1 wins, 1 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: -3.3% ROI.

Moneyline · San Diego Padres

Chicago Cubs at San Diego Padres

-137 → -149

+2.0 implied-probability pp

San Diego Padres's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.

Comparable recorded moves

2 wins, 1 losses in 3 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +10.6% ROI.

Reverse movement and “institutional money”

Price alone cannot identify large bettors or institutions. Confirming reverse line movement requires matched, timestamped ticket shares and price changes from the same market and book. That matching history is not yet available, so these reports do not label ordinary price changes as verified sharp or institutional action.

Edition coverage and sources

30 teams · 30 team histories · 170 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.

Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.