Lifetime Performance

LIFETIME

ChetBets MLB — Lifetime Performance Recovery — September 19, 2026

2026-09-19

KEY TAKEAWAY

Exact recovered official subset remains 26–21–0, 67.50u risked, -0.1077u, -0.16% ROI; one 1.50u Wheeler ticket is pending and 44 dates remain unresolved. September 18's four locked 0u leans settled 3–1 separately.

ChetBets MLB — Lifetime Performance Recovery

July 1 through September 18, 2026

September 19 mandatory recovery audit

The source ledger was rebuilt before calculation from the preserved Final/Graded ledgers, prior Nightly, 7-Day, 30-Day and Lifetime reports, every recoverable website record, and current GitHub history. Searches for additional exact CHETBETS FINAL DAILY POSITIONS, CANONICAL CHET CARD LEDGER, GRADED CANONICAL CARD LEDGER, and ROI sources did not surface a new controlling official position. The full recovered official history below is therefore carried forward unchanged and remains explicitly incomplete where the exact source card is unavailable.

September 18 produced no canonical non-pass MLB wager. Four already-published Grade-the-Slate selections remain locked historical 0.00u leans and were settled separately after every relevant game became final. ESPN's September 18 MLB scoreboard confirms the team results, and Reuters confirms Paul Skenes recorded seven strikeouts. Reuters game recap

September 18 locked selection	Original publication	Units	Verified result	Official lifetime impact
Cubs moneyline -126	CBS consensus lean	0.00u	LOSS — Reds 6, Cubs 4	None
Brewers moneyline -138	CBS consensus lean	0.00u	WIN — Brewers 6, Orioles 5	None
Padres -1.5 +112	CBS consensus lean	0.00u	WIN — Padres 8, Marlins 2	None
Paul Skenes O5.5 strikeouts -130	CBS prop-board lean	0.00u	WIN — 7 strikeouts	None

September 18 immutable lean diagnostic: 3–1–0 at 0.00u. Team/game leans were 2–1; the player-prop lean was 1–0. These selections are not promoted into AUTO_PICKS and do not enter official W-L, risk, net units, ROI, rank, or market performance.

Current controlling recovered totals

Metric	Exact recovered official subset
Settled record	26–21–0
Win rate	55.32%
Risked units	67.50u
Net units	-0.1077u
ROI	-0.16%
Pending	Zack Wheeler O7.5 Ks -110 Betway, 1.50u
Unresolved calendar dates	44
Team/game markets	5–7–0, 19.90u, -3.9710u, -19.95% ROI
Player props	21–14–0, 47.60u, +3.8633u, +8.12% ROI
Certified aggregate CLV	Unavailable

The 26–21 record is exact for the recovered settled subset, not a claim of complete inception coverage. September 18 is a verified no-official-action date with separately preserved locked leans; no historical official selection, posted odds, units, rank, market period, classification, or result was changed.

Preserved full recovery ledger and analysis

Recovery verdict

The previous website lifetime snapshot showed only the September 5 launch card at 1–2. That was not the complete recovered history. The accessible prior controlling Lifetime/Graded ledger preserves 45 official MLB positions through August 27: 44 settled and one pending. GitHub history adds the September 5 official three-position Final Late-Slate card. September 15 Final Positions issued no official exposure.

The corrected recovered subset remains 26–21–0, 67.50u settled risk, -0.1077u net, and -0.16% ROI, plus one 1.50u pending Wheeler ticket. September 16 and September 17 both have substantive, controlling Final Positions ledgers and Nightly Report Cards showing full passes with 0.00u exposure, so they add verified no-action dates but do not change the arithmetic. These are exact recovered-subset totals, not a claim of complete all-inception coverage.

The GitHub repository began September 5. Its data-bearing revisions were audited: the original automation store was empty; CFB recovery was added; the September 5 MLB launch Final card was stored in `lib/launch-content.ts`; the NFL artifact was explicitly scouting-only; and later September 15–17 report revisions contained no additional settled MLB pick rows. The current `AUTO_PICKS` array remains empty; this is consistent with the September 15–17 controlling full-pass cards and does not erase the separately preserved July–September recovered history. Cross-conversation retrieval was unavailable in this runtime, so the preserved controlling graded ledger supplied with the recovery record remains the historical source of truth.

Date-by-date source ledger

Date	Classification / controlling reconciliation	Source	W-L	Settled risk	Net
Jul 1	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 2	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 3	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 4	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 5	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 6	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 7	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 8	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 9	GRADED — recovered canonical card	Prior controlling graded ledger	2–1	2.25u	+0.5201u
Jul 10	GRADED — recovered canonical card	Prior controlling graded ledger	2–2	7.50u	+0.7500u
Jul 11	GRADED — recovered canonical card	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–3	7.50u	-4.6111u
Jul 12	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Jul 13	NO REGULAR-SEASON CARD — Home Run Derby period	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Jul 14	NO REGULAR-SEASON CARD — All-Star Game	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Jul 15	NO REGULAR-SEASON SLATE	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Jul 16	GRADED — Final card superseded preliminary card	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–1	1.50u	-1.5000u
Jul 17	GRADED — Final card controlled	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–0	1.50u	+1.3514u
Jul 18	GRADED — line-integrity exception preserved	Prior controlling graded ledger	2–0	2.75u	+3.1755u
Jul 19	GRADED — Final card controlled	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–0	1.50u	+1.3043u
Jul 20	GRADED — Martinez corrected to O16.5 Outs	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–1	2.75u	-0.4583u
Jul 21	GRADED — Final card controlled	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–1	1.75u	-1.7500u
Jul 22	GRADED — Final card controlled	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–0	1.50u	+0.9677u
Jul 23	VERIFIED NO ACTION — preliminary card removed	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Jul 24	GRADED — Manaea P1 / Drohan P2	Prior controlling graded ledger	2–0	2.75u	+2.1955u
Jul 25	GRADED — recovered canonical card	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–1	2.75u	-0.2010u
Jul 26	GRADED — Final card controlled	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–0	1.50u	+1.0870u
Jul 27	GRADED — Final card controlled	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–1	1.50u	-1.5000u
Jul 28	GRADED — recovered canonical card	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–2	2.75u	-2.7500u
Jul 29	GRADED — Final card controlled	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–0	1.50u	+0.9375u
Jul 30	GRADED — recovered canonical card	Prior controlling graded ledger	2–0	2.75u	+2.1008u
Jul 31	GRADED — Final card superseded preliminary card	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–1	2.75u	-0.5234u
Aug 1	GRADED — recovered canonical card	Prior controlling graded ledger	2–0	2.75u	+2.1433u
Aug 2	PARTIALLY GRADED — Cole settled; Wheeler pending	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–1 + pending	1.25u settled	-1.2500u
Aug 3	GRADED — Final card controlled	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–1	1.50u	-1.5000u
Aug 4	GRADED — recovered canonical card	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–1	2.75u	-0.1000u
Aug 5	GRADED — Burke corrected to O17.5 Pitcher Outs	Prior controlling graded ledger	2–1	3.75u	+0.6358u
Aug 6	GRADED — Cease removed; Miller corrected	Prior controlling graded ledger	1–1	2.50u	-0.0909u
Aug 7	VERIFIED NO ACTION — Final Picks 1–5 all Pass	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Aug 8	VERIFIED NO ACTION — Final Picks 1–5 all Pass	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Aug 9	VERIFIED NO ACTION — Final Picks 1–5 all Pass	Prior controlling graded ledger	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Aug 10	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 11	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 12	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 13	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 14	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 15	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 16	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 17	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 18	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 19	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 20	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 21	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 22	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 23	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 24	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 25	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 26	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 27	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 28	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 29	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 30	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Aug 31	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 1	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 2	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 3	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 4	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 5	GRADED — GitHub Final Late-Slate Positions	GitHub launch-content Final card + verified results	1–2	4.25u	-1.0417u
Sep 6	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 7	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 8	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 9	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 10	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 11	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 12	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 13	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 14	UNRESOLVED — controlling Final/Graded ledger not recovered	No controlling source recovered	—	—	—
Sep 15	VERIFIED NO ACTION — Final audited 4 team/game candidates and 2 props; all passed	GitHub September 15 Final + Nightly	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Sep 16	VERIFIED NO ACTION — all 15 MLB events audited; full pass	GitHub September 16 Final + Nightly	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u
Sep 17	VERIFIED NO ACTION — all 9 MLB events audited; full pass	GitHub September 17 Final + Nightly	0–0	0.00u	0.0000u

Calendar dates audited: 79. Graded betting dates: 25, including one partially graded/pending date. Verified no-action / no-regular-season dates: 10. Unresolved dates: 44.

Exact recovered performance

Metric	Recovered canonical subset
Official positions recovered	48
Settled positions	47
Pending positions	1
Wins	26
Losses	21
Pushes	0
Win rate	55.32%
Settled risk	67.50u
Pending exposure	1.50u
Total assigned recovered exposure	69.00u
Net	-0.1077u
ROI	-0.16%
Certified aggregate CLV	Unavailable

Math: 26 ÷ 47 = 55.3191%. -0.1077u ÷ 67.50u = -0.1596%.

Full recovered official position history

Date	Rank	Exact market / statistic	Posted odds	Units	Result	Net
Jul 9	P1	Giants Moneyline	-132	0.90u	WIN	+0.6818u
Jul 9	P2	Mariners Moneyline	-132	0.75u	LOSS	-0.7500u
Jul 9	P3	Jesús Luzardo Over 7.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	approx. -102	0.60u	WIN — 11 Ks	+0.5882u
Jul 10	P1	Rays Moneyline	-120	3.25u	WIN	+2.7083u
Jul 10	P2	Astros Moneyline	-140	2.25u	LOSS	-2.2500u
Jul 10	P3	Braves F5 -0.5 Run Line	-120	1.25u	WIN	+1.0417u
Jul 10	P4	Giants F5 -0.5 Run Line	-120	0.75u	LOSS	-0.7500u
Jul 11	P1	Marlins Moneyline	-154	3.00u	LOSS	-3.0000u
Jul 11	P2	Tigers Moneyline	+120	2.25u	LOSS	-2.2500u
Jul 11	P3	White Sox Moneyline	-108	1.50u	WIN	+1.3889u
Jul 11	P4	Rangers Moneyline	-118	0.75u	LOSS	-0.7500u
Jul 16	P1	Christian Scott Under 15.5 Pitcher Outs	-129	1.50u	LOSS — 17 outs	-1.5000u
Jul 17	P1	Troy Melton Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-111	1.50u	WIN — 9 Ks	+1.3514u
Jul 18	P1	Grayson Rodriguez Under 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	+130 exception	1.50u	WIN — 3 Ks	+1.9500u
Jul 18	P2	Logan Webb Under 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-102	1.25u	WIN — 5 Ks	+1.2255u
Jul 19	P1	Alan Rangel Under 13.5 Pitcher Outs	-115	1.50u	WIN — 12 outs	+1.3043u
Jul 20	P1	Jacob Misiorowski Under 3.5 Hits Allowed	+100	1.50u	LOSS — 4 hits	-1.5000u
Jul 20	P2	Nick Martinez Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs	-120 Novig	1.25u	WIN — 18 outs	+1.0417u
Jul 21	P1	Chase Burns Over 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-110 bet365	1.75u	LOSS — 6 Ks	-1.7500u
Jul 22	P1	Logan Henderson Over 14.5 Pitcher Outs	-155 BetMGM	1.50u	WIN — 15 outs	+0.9677u
Jul 24	P1	Sean Manaea Over 5.5 Hits Allowed	-130 BetMGM	1.50u	WIN — 6 hits	+1.1538u
Jul 24	P2	Shane Drohan Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-120 Novig	1.25u	WIN — 6 Ks	+1.0417u
Jul 25	P1	Sonny Gray Under 18.5 Pitcher Outs	-143 DraftKings	1.50u	WIN — 15 outs	+1.0490u
Jul 25	P2	Eury Pérez Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-153 Novig	1.25u	LOSS — 2 Ks	-1.2500u
Jul 26	P1	Parker Messick Over 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-138 FanDuel	1.50u	WIN — 6 Ks	+1.0870u
Jul 27	P1	Tyler Phillips Under 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	+130 DraftKings	1.50u	LOSS — 5 Ks	-1.5000u
Jul 28	P1	Aaron Nola Under 16.5 Pitcher Outs	-105 BetMGM	1.50u	LOSS — 17 outs	-1.5000u
Jul 28	P2	Logan Henderson Under 15.5 Pitcher Outs	-158 DraftKings	1.25u	LOSS — 17 outs	-1.2500u
Jul 29	P1	Joe Ryan Under 18.5 Pitcher Outs	-160 DraftKings	1.50u	WIN — 18 outs	+0.9375u
Jul 30	P1	Sean Burke Over 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-130 Fanatics	1.50u	WIN — 10 Ks	+1.1538u
Jul 30	P2	Eury Pérez Under 4.5 Hits Allowed	-132 DraftKings	1.25u	WIN — 3 hits	+0.9470u
Jul 31	P1	Dylan Cease Over 7.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-123 DraftKings	1.50u	LOSS — 7 Ks	-1.5000u
Jul 31	P2	Shane Drohan Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-128 FanDuel	1.25u	WIN — 7 Ks	+0.9766u
Aug 1	P1	Jacob deGrom Under 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-115 BetMGM	1.50u	WIN — 3 Ks	+1.3043u
Aug 1	P2	Tyler Mahle Under 5.5 Hits Allowed	-149 DraftKings	1.25u	WIN — 5 hits	+0.8389u
Aug 2	P1	Zack Wheeler Over 7.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-110 Betway	1.50u	PENDING — 3 Ks / 2.0 IP	Pending
Aug 2	P2	Gerrit Cole Over 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	+120 bet365	1.25u	LOSS — 5 Ks	-1.2500u
Aug 3	P1	Shane Bieber Over 2.5 Earned Runs Allowed	-115 Caesars	1.50u	LOSS — 1 ER	-1.5000u
Aug 4	P1	Grayson Rodriguez Under 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-147 DraftKings	1.50u	LOSS — 6 Ks	-1.5000u
Aug 4	P2	Logan Henderson Over 6.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	+112 FanDuel	1.25u	WIN — 8 Ks	+1.4000u
Aug 5	P1	Sean Burke Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs	-120 Novig	1.50u	LOSS — 13 outs	-1.5000u
Aug 5	P2	Noah Cameron Over 4.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-138 FanDuel	1.25u	WIN — 9 Ks	+0.9058u
Aug 5	P3	Christian Scott Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	+123 FanDuel	1.00u	WIN — 7 Ks	+1.2300u
Aug 6	P1	Miles Mikolas Under 3.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-165 bet365	1.50u	WIN — 1 K	+0.9091u
Aug 6	P3	Bryce Miller Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-105 BetMGM	1.00u	LOSS — 5 Ks	-1.0000u
Sep 5	P1	Cardinals / Rockies Over 10.5 (full game total)	-120	1.75u	WIN — 17 runs	+1.4583u
Sep 5	P2	Nationals / Dodgers Under 7.5 (full game total)	-102	1.50u	LOSS — 11 runs	-1.5000u
Sep 5	P3	George Kirby Over 5.5 Pitcher Strikeouts	-102	1.00u	LOSS — 5 Ks	-1.0000u

Sources for the September 5 addition: Final card revision, Cardinals 7–Rockies 10, September 5 MLB scoreboard, and Athletics–Mariners box score.

Weekly performance blocks

Block	Settled W-L	Risk	Net	ROI / integrity
Jul 1–3	—	—	—	Three unresolved dates
Jul 4–10	4–3	9.75u	+1.2701u	+13.03%; Jul 4–8 unresolved
Jul 11–17	2–4	10.50u	-4.7598u	-45.33%; Jul 12 unresolved
Jul 18–24	7–2	13.00u	+5.4348u	+41.81%
Jul 25–31	6–5	15.50u	-0.8492u	-5.48%
Aug 1–7	6–5 + pending	14.50u settled	-0.1618u	-1.12%; Wheeler pending
Aug 8–14	0–0 recovered	0.00u	0.0000u	Aug 8–9 no action; Aug 10–14 unresolved
Aug 15–21	—	—	—	Seven unresolved dates
Aug 22–28	—	—	—	Seven unresolved dates
Aug 29–Sep 4	—	—	—	Seven unresolved dates
Sep 5–11	1–2	4.25u	-1.0417u	-24.51%; Sep 6–11 unresolved
Sep 12–17	0–0 recovered	0.00u	0.0000u	Sep 12–14 unresolved; Sep 15–17 verified no action

Best recovered day remains July 18 at 2–0, +3.1755u. Worst remains July 11 at 1–3, -4.6111u.

Rank performance

Rank	W-L	Win rate	Risk	Net	ROI	Pending
Pick 1	14–10	58.33%	39.15u	+1.2664u	+3.23%	Wheeler 1.50u
Pick 2	8–7	53.33%	20.50u	-2.1229u	-10.36%	None
Pick 3	4–2	66.67%	6.35u	+2.2488u	+35.41%	None
Pick 4	0–2	0.00%	1.50u	-1.5000u	-100.00%	None
Pick 5	0–0	—	0.00u	0.0000u	—	None

Market performance

Market family	W-L	Risk	Net	ROI	Pending
Full-game Moneyline	3–5	14.65u	-4.2210u	-28.81%	—
F5 Run Line	1–1	2.00u	+0.2917u	+14.58%	—
Full-game totals	1–1	3.25u	-0.0417u	-1.28%	—
Pitcher Strikeouts	13–8	27.60u	+4.3733u	+15.85%	Wheeler
Pitcher Outs	5–4	13.00u	-0.4498u	-3.46%	—
Hits Allowed	3–1	5.50u	+1.4397u	+26.18%	—
Earned Runs Allowed	0–1	1.50u	-1.5000u	-100.00%	—
All player props	21–14	47.60u	+3.8633u	+8.12%	Wheeler
All team sides (ML + F5 run line)	4–6	16.65u	-3.9293u	-23.60%	—
All team/game markets (sides + full-game totals)	5–7	19.90u	-3.9710u	-19.95%	—

MLB market-mix audit

Recovered settled class	W-L-P	Positions	Share	Risk	Net	ROI
Team/game markets	5–7–0	12	25.53%	19.90u	-3.9710u	-19.95%
Player props	21–14–0	35	74.47%	47.60u	+3.8633u	+8.12%
Total settled	26–21–0	47	100.00%	67.50u	-0.1077u	-0.16%

Including the pending Wheeler pitcher-strikeout ticket, the 48 recovered assigned positions are 12 team/game markets (25.00%) and 36 player props (75.00%). This documents the historical mix; it does not rewrite old selections. The binding construction target applies prospectively: qualified team/game markets are researched and ranked first, with approximately two-thirds of future official positions allocated to team/game markets and one-third to props. Weak positions are never forced merely to satisfy the ratio.

Favorite, underdog, price and sizing performance

Category	W-L	Risk	Net	ROI
Favorite full-game ML	3–4	12.40u	-1.9710u	-15.90%
Underdog full-game ML	0–1	2.25u	-2.2500u	-100.00%
All negative-priced positions	23–17	57.25u	+1.8123u	+3.17%
Even/plus-money positions	3–4	10.25u	-1.9200u	-18.73%
≤1.50u	24–17	53.25u	+4.9757u	+9.34%
>1.50u	2–4	14.25u	-5.0834u	-35.67%

Unit size	W-L	Risk	Net	ROI
0.60u	1–0	0.60u	+0.5882u	+98.04%
0.75u	0–3	2.25u	-2.2500u	-100.00%
0.90u	1–0	0.90u	+0.6818u	+75.76%
1.00u	1–2	3.00u	-0.7700u	-25.67%
1.25u	9–3	15.00u	+5.6687u	+37.79%
1.50u	12–9	31.50u	+1.0569u	+3.36%
1.75u	1–1	3.50u	-0.2917u	-8.33%
2.25u	0–2	4.50u	-4.5000u	-100.00%
3.00u	0–1	3.00u	-3.0000u	-100.00%
3.25u	1–0	3.25u	+2.7083u	+83.33%

Closing-line value

Certified aggregate lifetime CLV is unavailable, not 0%. A complete timestamped same-sportsbook close series was not preserved.

Preserved directional evidence remains favorable for Henderson O14.5 Outs, Nola U16.5 Outs, Henderson U15.5 Outs, Burke O6.5 Ks, Cole O6.5 Ks, and Henderson O6.5 Ks; Rodriguez U5.5 Ks was slightly unfavorable. July 9 Luzardo's approximately -102 entry has public same-day corroboration, while July 18 Rodriguez +130 remains plausible but ticket-level uncertified. The September 5 card has no certified same-book closes. These observations are diagnostic only.

Reconciled corrections and integrity exceptions

Inception is treated as July 1, 2026, per the current instruction. Earlier reports that referenced June 27 are not used to expand this report backward.
The prior website lifetime row of 1–2, -1.0417u was incomplete because it omitted the preserved July–August ledger. It is replaced by the combined recovered subtotal above.
July 20 Martinez is Over 16.5 Pitcher Outs.
August 5 Burke is Over 17.5 Pitcher Outs, not the superseded K market.
August 6 Cease is excluded; Final Positions removed him.
August 6 Miller is Over 5.5 Ks -105 BetMGM.
August 7–9 are official no-action cards; their 10–5 diagnostic Pass pool never enters W-L or ROI.
September 5's three late-slate positions are official because the GitHub Final Late-Slate report explicitly designated them.
The September 5 launch pick rows still show pending in another website file, but the later verified performance report grades them 1–2. This report uses the later grade and documents the stale-row conflict.
Wheeler O7.5 Ks -110 Betway, 1.50u remains pending because the shortened-game sportsbook settlement rule is unrecovered.
September 15–17 are verified no-action cards. September 15 used a 4-team/2-prop research pool and September 16–17 audited complete 15-game and 9-game slates; none produced an official position.
44 calendar dates remain unresolved. They are not treated as no-action days.
Cross-conversation search was unavailable; no missing position was reconstructed from final results.

If Wheeler is voided, totals remain 26–21, -0.1077u, -0.16% ROI. If Wheeler is graded a loss, the subtotal becomes 26–22, 69.00u risked, -1.6077u, -2.33% ROI.

Strengths

Player props remain profitable at +8.12% ROI, pitcher strikeouts remain the strongest established larger-sample family at +15.85% before Wheeler, Hits Allowed is 3–1 and +26.18%, Pick 3 is +35.41% ROI, and the ≤1.50u band remains profitable at +9.34% ROI.

Weaknesses

The recovered win rate is 55.32%, below the 65% operating target. Full-game moneylines remain the largest established drag at -28.81% ROI; team sides are -23.60%; Pick 2 is negative; Pick 4 is 0–2; Pitcher Outs is mildly negative; and >1.50u exposure is -35.67% ROI. Most importantly, 44 dates lack recoverable controlling cards, so these findings describe only the recovered subset.

No model weights, ranking rules, conversion thresholds, or permanent unit-sizing rules are changed.

September 18 recovery audit update

The current repository was re-fetched immediately before publication. Recent revisions through the September 17 Final and Nightly cycle were checked against the prior detailed lifetime recovery. No new official non-pass MLB position, posted odds, unit assignment, closing line, result, or profit appeared. The controlling September 16 and 17 cards are substantive full-slate audits and both finish at 0–0–0 with 0.00u exposure. Historical totals, the 44 unresolved dates, all documented corrections, and the Wheeler pending exception therefore remain unchanged.