ChetBets MLB — Nightly Report Card — September 18, 2026
Official card 0–0–0 at 0.00u. Four immutable 0u research leans settled 3–1 diagnostically: team/game markets 2–1 and player props 1–0.
ChetBets MLB — Nightly Report Card
Friday, September 18, 2026
All 15 MLB games are final. The controlling Final Positions report issued no official wagers, so the official card is 0–0–0, 0.00u risked, 0.0000u net, ROI N/A.
The four previously published Grade-the-Slate leans remain immutable historical selections at their original markets, lines, prices, sources, and 0u classification. They are settled below for research diagnostics only and do not enter official performance.
Result source: ESPN MLB schedule — September 18, 2026. Skenes’ seven-strikeout result is independently reported by Reuters.
Official performance
| Metric | Result |
|---|---|
| Official positions | 0 |
| W-L-P | 0–0–0 |
| Risked | 0.00u |
| Net | 0.0000u |
| ROI | N/A — no official capital risked |
| Verified official CLV | N/A |
Locked lean settlements — 0u diagnostics
| Published selection | Original price/source | Units | Verified outcome | Diagnostic grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cubs full-game ML at Reds | -126, CBS Sports consensus | 0.00u | Cubs lost 6–4 | LOSS |
| Brewers full-game ML at Orioles | -138, CBS Sports consensus | 0.00u | Brewers won 6–5 | WIN |
| Padres -1.5 full-game vs. Marlins | +112, CBS Sports consensus | 0.00u | Padres won 8–2 | WIN |
| Paul Skenes Over 5.5 strikeouts vs. Royals | -130, CBS Sports prop board | 0.00u | Skenes recorded 7 Ks | WIN |
Cubs
Reds
Brewers
Orioles
Padres
Marlins
RoyalsDiagnostic lean record: 3–1. This record is separate from official W-L and produces no profit or loss because every lean carried 0.00u.
MLB market-class audit
| Class | Diagnostic W-L-P | Risk | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Team/game-market leans | 2–1–0 | 0.00u | 0.0000u | N/A |
| Player-prop leans | 1–0–0 | 0.00u | 0.0000u | N/A |
| Official team/game markets | 0–0–0 | 0.00u | 0.0000u | N/A |
| Official player props | 0–0–0 | 0.00u | 0.0000u | N/A |
The locked lean mix was three team/game markets and one player prop (75% / 25%). This was a research slate, not an official card, and no wager was forced to satisfy the prospective two-thirds/one-third policy.
Closing-line audit
Later public snapshots showed Cubs ML near -149, Brewers ML near -149, Padres -1.5 near +108, and no certified same-book Skenes close. Those comparisons are directional only because the original CBS references and later snapshots are not a complete timestamped same-book closing series. No synthetic CLV is calculated.
Strengths, misses, variance, and lesson
The Brewers, Padres run line, and Skenes strikeout thesis all won. The Cubs moneyline was the lone diagnostic miss. The strongest market-specific read was Skenes Over 5.5 Ks, clearing with seven. The main variance lesson is that a 3–1 lean slate at 0u remains a research result: it cannot be backfilled into official performance after outcomes are known.
GRADED CANONICAL CARD LEDGER
| Classification | Exact market | Posted odds | Closing line | Units | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OFFICIAL | No official Final Positions wager | — | — | 0.00u | 0–0–0 |
| LOCKED LEAN | Cubs full-game ML at Reds | -126 | Directional snapshot near -149; not certified CLV | 0.00u | LOSS — Cubs 4, Reds 6 |
| LOCKED LEAN | Brewers full-game ML at Orioles | -138 | Directional snapshot near -149; not certified CLV | 0.00u | WIN — Brewers 6, Orioles 5 |
| LOCKED LEAN | Padres -1.5 full-game vs. Marlins | +112 | Directional snapshot near +108; not certified CLV | 0.00u | WIN — Padres 8, Marlins 2 |
| LOCKED LEAN | Paul Skenes Over 5.5 pitcher strikeouts vs. Royals | -130 | Unavailable | 0.00u | WIN — 7 Ks |
The original selections and classifications remain unchanged; settlement information is appended separately.