NFL — Grade the Slate — New Release
New release for Sunday's games: one official at 0.50u and two distinct 0u leans. Original watches remain unchanged.
NFL — September 19 redelivery
New publication: 2026-09-19T16:12:01.812Z. This release applies from this timestamp; it is not a backdated morning card.
| Rank | Selection | Status | Units |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 (-102) | LEAN | 0u |
| 3 | New York Jets +3.5 (-105) | LEAN | 0u |
Cincinnati Bengals
New York JetsNew release for Sunday's games: one official at 0.50u and two distinct 0u leans. Original watches remain unchanged.
[Read the full new analysis, exact prices, countercases, sources and three-pass reconciliation](/sports/nfl/reports/final-positions/2026-09-19).
The full earlier slate inventory remains below. Its old PASS decisions and price snapshots describe that publication only; the new card above is the current decision. Earlier leans remain in the historical record at their original terms.
Review scope: fresh market screen, deeper matchup review of finalists and alternatives, adverse-evidence review, then one reconciled release. This does not claim independent model simulations or verified analysis of every possible player prop.
Earlier publication — preserved verbatim
Original publication: 2026-09-19T12:35:43.777Z
ChetBets NFL — Grade the Slate
Saturday, September 19, 2026
No Saturday game | Seven-day market board refreshed 5:35 AM PT | Official wagers: NONE | Official exposure: 0.00u
No September 19 NFL event exists. The rolling board below is graded so no future watch is confused with an official position.
| Event | Start | Verified current market | Grade decision | \n | --- | ---: | --- | --- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CAR @ ATL | 10:00 AM PT | ATL +2.5 (+100); O/U 43.5; ML -155/+130 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| MIN @ CHI | 10:00 AM PT | CHI -4.5 (-112); O/U 48.5; ML +180/-218 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| PHI @ TEN | 10:00 AM PT | TEN +7 (-108); O/U 39.5; ML -325/+260 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| PIT @ NE | 10:00 AM PT | NE -5.5 (-108); O/U 41.5; ML +185/-225 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| GB @ NYJ | 10:00 AM PT | NYJ +3.5 (-105); O/U 44.5; ML -205/+170 | PASS — Jets +5 -110 fixed target remains untriggered. | |||||
| CLE @ TB | 10:00 AM PT | TB -8.5 (-108); O/U 41.5; ML +350/-455 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| NO @ BAL | 10:00 AM PT | BAL -8.5 (-108); O/U 46.5; ML +310/-395 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| CIN @ HOU | 10:00 AM PT | HOU -2.5 (-118); O/U 45.5; ML +114/-135 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| JAX @ DEN | 1:05 PM PT | DEN -2.5 (-118); O/U 45.5; ML +124/-148 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| LV @ LAC | 1:05 PM PT | LAC -6.5 (-118); O/U 43.5; ML +245/-305 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| WSH @ DAL | 1:25 PM PT | DAL -3.5 (-120); O/U 50.5; ML +180/-218 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| SEA @ ARI | 1:25 PM PT | ARI +3.5 (+100); O/U 40.5; ML -205/+170 | PASS — Arizona +5.5 -110 fixed target remains untriggered. | |||||
| MIA @ SF | 1:25 PM PT | SF -13.5 (-105); O/U 44.5; ML +600/-900 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| IND @ KC | 5:20 PM PT | KC -6.5 (-115); O/U 46.5; ML +230/-285 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| NYG @ LAR | 5:15 PM PT | LAR -7 (-118); O/U 48.5; ML +285/-360 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. | |||||
| ATL @ GB | 5:15 PM PT | GB -6.5 (-115); O/U 46.5; ML +240/-298 | PASS — no fixed trigger or verified edge authorizes a position. |
CAR
ATL
MIN
CHI
PHI
TEN
PIT
CLE
BAL
HOU
JAX
DEN
LAC
WSH
DAL
SEA
ARI
MIA
IND
NYG
LARJets +5 -110 and Arizona +5.5 -110 remain the fixed triggers. Current markets do not satisfy them. Watches are 0u research and are not published selections or official wagers.
No official wager. No AUTO_PICKS change. Final Positions remains pending the 6:00 a.m. revalidation.
8:44 A.M. PT GRADE REFRESH — APPENDED
The 7:37 a.m. Final Positions ledger remains controlling. Current CBS NFL odds show Jets +3.5 -105 versus the fixed +5 -110 trigger and Cardinals +4.5 -120 versus the fixed +5.5 -110 trigger / +5 -110 maximum. Neither watch is triggered.
| Rank | Watch | Positive Edge | Devil Risk | Net Edge | Units | Risk-manager decision | What changes the view |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cardinals +5.5 -110 target | Seattle’s quarterback downgrade supports the home dog. | Current +4.5 -120 lacks both target cushion and acceptable price. | UNQUALIFIED | 0.00u | PASS / OPEN WATCH | Exact +5.5 -110 plus final availability review. |
| 2 | Jets +5 -110 target | Key-number cushion would improve the matchup structure. | Current +3.5 -105 remains 1.5 points short. | UNQUALIFIED | 0.00u | PASS / OPEN WATCH | Exact +5 -110 plus Jets QB/OL confirmation. |
No NFL official position is proposed or created.