SOCCER

Know-It-All Reports

Soccer · KNOW-IT-ALL REPORTS

AI Capper Report

LIVE RESEARCH FEED · 2026-09-30 · Refreshes every 15 minutes
Historical model baseline: Sep 17, 8:55 AM PT

Live rows use the current schedule and market feed. They are research observations, not published official positions.

Market checked Sep 30, 5:44 PM PT · refreshes every 15 minutes

Find team or matchup

Green = favorable model discrepancy; red = unfavorable. Sort uses probability points for ML and scoring points for other markets. Estimates are experimental, not calibrated betting recommendations.

Sep 30, 7:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Las Vegas Lights FC at Sacramento Republic FC

Las Vegas Lights FC

CHET PROJECTION+320

DRAFTKINGS+450

DISCREPANCY+5.7 pp

Model score: away 0.8 · home 1.3. Simulated return per $100 risked: +$31.06 (model estimate).

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 6:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Atlético Junior at Atlético Nacional

Atlético Junior

CHET PROJECTION+600

DRAFTKINGS+550

DISCREPANCY-1.1 pp

Model score: away 1.0 · home 2.3. Simulated return per $100 risked: −$7.18 (model estimate).

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 6:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Atlético Junior at Atlético Nacional

Atlético Nacional

CHET PROJECTION-210

DRAFTKINGS-230

DISCREPANCY-1.9 pp

Model score: away 1.0 · home 2.3. Simulated return per $100 risked: −$2.75 (model estimate).

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 7:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Las Vegas Lights FC at Sacramento Republic FC

Sacramento Republic FC

CHET PROJECTION+115

DRAFTKINGS-190

DISCREPANCY-18.9 pp

Model score: away 0.8 · home 1.3. Simulated return per $100 risked: −$28.90 (model estimate).

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 11:45 AM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Southend United at Eastleigh

Eastleigh

CHET PROJECTION+202

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.6 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 11:45 AM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Southend United at Eastleigh

Southend United

CHET PROJECTION+134

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.6 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 11:45 AM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Sutton United at Tamworth

Tamworth

CHET PROJECTION+192

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.7 · home 1.5. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 11:45 AM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Sutton United at Tamworth

Sutton United

CHET PROJECTION+134

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.7 · home 1.5. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 12:00 PM PT · 13 games per team minimum

Always Ready at Real Oruro

Real Oruro

CHET PROJECTION+705

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 2.8 · home 1.1. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 12:00 PM PT · 13 games per team minimum

Always Ready at Real Oruro

Always Ready

CHET PROJECTION-251

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 2.8 · home 1.1. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 1:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Los Chankas at Cienciano del Cusco

Cienciano del Cusco

CHET PROJECTION-177

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 2.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 1:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Los Chankas at Cienciano del Cusco

Los Chankas

CHET PROJECTION+492

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 2.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 2:00 PM PT · 10 games per team minimum

Internacional Santa Tecla at Águila

Águila

CHET PROJECTION+197

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.5 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 2:00 PM PT · 10 games per team minimum

Internacional Santa Tecla at Águila

Internacional Santa Tecla

CHET PROJECTION+144

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.5 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Army Black Knights at Boston University Terriers

Boston University Terriers

CHET PROJECTION+104

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.5 · home 2.0. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Army Black Knights at Boston University Terriers

Army Black Knights

CHET PROJECTION+242

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.5 · home 2.0. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Colgate Raiders at Holy Cross Crusaders

Holy Cross Crusaders

CHET PROJECTION-114

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 0.7 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Colgate Raiders at Holy Cross Crusaders

Colgate Raiders

CHET PROJECTION+414

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 0.7 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

American University Eagles at Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

CHET PROJECTION-103

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 0.9 · home 1.5. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

American University Eagles at Loyola Maryland Greyhounds

American University Eagles

CHET PROJECTION+361

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 0.9 · home 1.5. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Longwood Lancers at Winthrop Eagles

Winthrop Eagles

CHET PROJECTION+165

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

Longwood Lancers at Winthrop Eagles

Longwood Lancers

CHET PROJECTION+188

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:30 PM PT · 13 games per team minimum

Nacional Potosí at Real Tomayapo

Real Tomayapo

CHET PROJECTION+261

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.8 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 3:30 PM PT · 13 games per team minimum

Nacional Potosí at Real Tomayapo

Nacional Potosí

CHET PROJECTION+107

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.8 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Detroit City FC at Brooklyn FC

Brooklyn FC

CHET PROJECTION+254

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 0.9. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Detroit City FC at Brooklyn FC

Detroit City FC

CHET PROJECTION+137

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 0.9. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Sporting JAX at Miami FC

Miami FC

CHET PROJECTION+118

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.4 · home 1.8. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Sporting JAX at Miami FC

Sporting JAX

CHET PROJECTION+220

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.4 · home 1.8. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Spokane Velocity FC at Chattanooga Red Wolves

Chattanooga Red Wolves

CHET PROJECTION+170

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.7 · home 1.6. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Spokane Velocity FC at Chattanooga Red Wolves

Spokane Velocity FC

CHET PROJECTION+148

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.7 · home 1.6. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

O'Higgins at Deportes Concepcion

Deportes Concepcion

CHET PROJECTION-104

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 0.8 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

O'Higgins at Deportes Concepcion

O'Higgins

CHET PROJECTION+368

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 0.8 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

UNC Asheville Bulldogs at Radford Highlanders

Radford Highlanders

CHET PROJECTION+233

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.9 · home 1.5. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

UNC Asheville Bulldogs at Radford Highlanders

UNC Asheville Bulldogs

CHET PROJECTION+108

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.9 · home 1.5. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:30 PM PT · 10 games per team minimum

St. Louis CITY SC at Red Bull New York

Red Bull New York

CHET PROJECTION+378

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.9 · home 1.1. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:30 PM PT · 10 games per team minimum

St. Louis CITY SC at Red Bull New York

St. Louis CITY SC

CHET PROJECTION-132

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.9 · home 1.1. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:30 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Indy Eleven at Rhode Island FC

Rhode Island FC

CHET PROJECTION+141

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 4:30 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Indy Eleven at Rhode Island FC

Indy Eleven

CHET PROJECTION+213

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 5:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

New Mexico United at FC Tulsa

FC Tulsa

CHET PROJECTION+148

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 5:00 PM PT · 9 games per team minimum

New Mexico United at FC Tulsa

New Mexico United

CHET PROJECTION+208

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 5:00 PM PT · 10 games per team minimum

C.D. Platense at Alianza FC

Alianza FC

CHET PROJECTION+139

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.1 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 5:00 PM PT · 10 games per team minimum

C.D. Platense at Alianza FC

C.D. Platense

CHET PROJECTION+218

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.1 · home 1.4. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 5:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Bucknell Bison at Lafayette Leopards

Lafayette Leopards

CHET PROJECTION+171

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.2. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 5:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Bucknell Bison at Lafayette Leopards

Bucknell Bison

CHET PROJECTION+178

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.2. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 5:30 PM PT · 12 games per team minimum

The Strongest at Oriente Petrolero

Oriente Petrolero

CHET PROJECTION+134

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.7 · home 1.8. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 5:30 PM PT · 12 games per team minimum

The Strongest at Oriente Petrolero

The Strongest

CHET PROJECTION+186

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.7 · home 1.8. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 7:00 PM PT · 10 games per team minimum

Isidro Metapán at CD FAS

CD FAS

CHET PROJECTION+148

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 7:00 PM PT · 10 games per team minimum

Isidro Metapán at CD FAS

Isidro Metapán

CHET PROJECTION+206

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.2 · home 1.3. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 7:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

CHET PROJECTION+415

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.8 · home 0.9. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 7:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos at Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners

UC Santa Barbara Gauchos

CHET PROJECTION-137

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.8 · home 0.9. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 7:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Cal State Northridge Matadors at Long Beach State 49ers

Long Beach State 49ers

CHET PROJECTION-124

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.1 · home 1.9. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

Sep 30, 7:00 PM PT · 8 games per team minimum

Cal State Northridge Matadors at Long Beach State 49ers

Cal State Northridge Matadors

CHET PROJECTION+344

DRAFTKINGS—

DISCREPANCY—

Model score: away 1.1 · home 1.9. No verified market quote for this selection.

Source 1 ↗

How the projection is calculated

10,000 seeded Monte Carlo simulations per matchup. Up to 30 completed games per team, recency weights, prior-season results weighted at 45%, and eight league-average games of shrinkage. Scoring offense is matched to opponent defense. Home advantage comes from observed results and is capped. MLB/NHL use a Poisson scoring baseline; football/basketball/soccer use score simulations with observed variance. Ties are retained where the sport permits them.

ML is a model fair price. This baseline does not yet adjust for confirmed lineups, injuries, starters, surface, weight cuts, pace or weather and has no verified predictive track record. Missing sportsbook quotes are never manufactured.

Edition coverage and sources

2006 teams · 2006 team histories · 0 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.

Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.