Soccer · KNOW-IT-ALL REPORTS
Line Mover Report LIVE RESEARCH FEED · 2026-09-30 · Refreshes every 15 minutes
Historical model baseline: Sep 17, 8:55 AM PT
Live rows use the current schedule and market feed. They are research observations, not published official positions.
Market checked Sep 30, 5:44 PM PT · refreshes every 15 minutes
Find team or matchup DraftKings opening line → latest retrieved pre-game line. Historical comparisons use the same team, direction, and moves between 50% and 150% of today’s magnitude, within up to 30 captured games. Small samples are descriptive, not validated signals.
Moneyline ·
Tepatitlán FC Club Jaiba Brava at Tepatitlán FC+270 → +425
-8.0 implied-probability pp
Tepatitlán FC 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Ferro Carril Oeste Deportivo Madryn at Ferro Carril Oeste-105 → +120
-5.8 implied-probability pp
Ferro Carril Oeste 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Exeter City Rotherham United at Exeter City+130 → +160
-5.0 implied-probability pp
Exeter City 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Salford City Fleetwood Town at Salford City-120 → -145
+4.6 implied-probability pp
Salford City 's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Wales
Norway at Wales +400 → +550
-4.6 implied-probability pp
Wales's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Cancún FC
Tapatío at Cancún FC -195 → -160
-4.6 implied-probability pp
Cancún FC's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Lexington
El Paso Locomotive FC at Lexington+100 → -120
+4.5 implied-probability pp
Lexington's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · British Virgin Islands
Montserrat at British Virgin Islands+650 → +1000
-4.2 implied-probability pp
British Virgin Islands's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Manchester United
Liverpool at Manchester United +115 → +100
+3.5 implied-probability pp
Manchester United's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Kazakhstan
Moldova at Kazakhstan -155 → -135
-3.3 implied-probability pp
Kazakhstan's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Gillingham Newport County at Gillingham+120 → +105
+3.3 implied-probability pp
Gillingham 's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Leyton Orient Plymouth Argyle at Leyton Orient+210 → +245
-3.3 implied-probability pp
Leyton Orient 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Londrina Criciúma at Londrina+170 → +195
-3.1 implied-probability pp
Londrina 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Correcaminos UAT Cruz Azul Hidalgo at Correcaminos UAT-145 → -165
+3.1 implied-probability pp
Correcaminos UAT 's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Botafogo Vasco da Gama at Botafogo+150 → +170
-3.0 implied-probability pp
Botafogo 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Defensa y JusticiaSan Lorenzo at Defensa y Justicia +135 → +120
+2.9 implied-probability pp
Defensa y Justicia 's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
AlbaceteEibar at Albacete +155 → +175
-2.9 implied-probability pp
Albacete 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Internacional de Bogotá Once Caldas at Internacional de Bogotá+160 → +180
-2.8 implied-probability pp
Internacional de Bogotá 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Boreham Wood Altrincham at Boreham Wood-275 → -240
-2.8 implied-probability pp
Boreham Wood 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Israel
Kosovo at Israel +190 → +215
-2.7 implied-probability pp
Israel's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Curaçao
Trinidad and Tobago at Curaçao -135 → -150
+2.5 implied-probability pp
Curaçao's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Real Sociedad IIGranada at Real Sociedad II +140 → +155
-2.5 implied-probability pp
Real Sociedad II 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Hungary
Georgia at Hungary-105 → +105
-2.4 implied-probability pp
Hungary's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Switzerland
Slovenia at Switzerland -275 → -310
+2.3 implied-probability pp
Switzerland's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Bosnia-Herzegovina
Sweden at Bosnia-Herzegovina +210 → +190
+2.2 implied-probability pp
Bosnia-Herzegovina's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Manchester City
Arsenal at Manchester City +170 → +155
+2.2 implied-probability pp
Manchester City's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Leones Negros Dorados de Sinaloa at Leones Negros-195 → -215
+2.1 implied-probability pp
Leones Negros 's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Boca Juniors Unión (Santa Fe) at Boca Juniors-160 → -175
+2.1 implied-probability pp
Boca Juniors 's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Vitesse NAC Breda at Vitesse+160 → +175
-2.1 implied-probability pp
Vitesse 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline ·
Seattle Sounders FC Sporting Kansas City at Seattle Sounders FC-225 → -205
-2.0 implied-probability pp
Seattle Sounders FC 's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Moneyline · Netherlands
Serbia at Netherlands -550 → -475
-2.0 implied-probability pp
Netherlands's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Spread · Wales
Norway at Wales 0.5 → 1.5
+1.0 points
The spread moved away from Wales. A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Total · Over
Norway at Wales 2.5 → 3.5
+1.0 points
The posted total moved higher. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Spread ·
AlbaceteEibar at Albacete -0.5 → 0.5
+1.0 points
The spread moved away from Albacete . A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Spread ·
Avaí Ceará at Avaí0.5 → -0.5
-1.0 points
The spread moved toward Avaí . A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Spread ·
Cuiabá Ponte Preta at Cuiabá-1.5 → -2.5
-1.0 points
The spread moved toward Cuiabá . A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Spread · Brighton & Hove
AlbionCharlton Athletic at Brighton & Hove Albion -2.5 → -1.5
+1.0 points
The spread moved away from Brighton & Hove Albion . A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Total · Over
Aldosivi at Huracán1.5 → 2.5
+1.0 points
The posted total moved higher. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Total · Over
Tigre at Argentinos Juniors1.5 → 2.5
+1.0 points
The posted total moved higher. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Spread ·
Botafogo Vasco da Gama at Botafogo-0.5 → 0.5
+1.0 points
The spread moved away from Botafogo . A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
Comparable recorded moves No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
Reverse movement and “institutional money” Price alone cannot identify large bettors or institutions. Confirming reverse line movement requires matched, timestamped ticket shares and price changes from the same market and book. That matching history is not yet available, so these reports do not label ordinary price changes as verified sharp or institutional action.
Edition coverage and sources 2006 teams · 2006 team histories · 0 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.
Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.