NCAAF · KNOW-IT-ALL REPORTS
Falling Knife Report LIVE RESEARCH FEED · 2026-09-30 · Refreshes every 15 minutes
Historical model baseline: Sep 17, 8:55 AM PT
Live rows use the current schedule and market feed. They are research observations, not published official positions.
Market checked Sep 30, 5:54 PM PT · refreshes every 15 minutes
Losing streaks of three or more games, with the next matchup and the price test for a rebound or a fade.
Find team or matchup LOSING STREAK
Charlotte 49ers↓ 11 losses
Average scoring margin: -24.1 over this run.
Memphis Tigers at Charlotte 49ers
REBOUND CASE +215 Model fair moneyline
CURRENT PRICE +850
Rebound price merits review Baseline simulated rebound return: +$201.91 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
LOSING STREAK
UL Monroe Warhawks↓ 10 losses
Average scoring margin: -21.3 over this run.
No next opponent in the verified eight-day schedule.
REBOUND CASE Insufficient data Model fair moneyline
CURRENT PRICE Unavailable
No verified price edge The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
LOSING STREAK
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets↓ 5 losses
Average scoring margin: -9.4 over this run.
No next opponent in the verified eight-day schedule.
REBOUND CASE Insufficient data Model fair moneyline
CURRENT PRICE Unavailable
No verified price edge The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
LOSING STREAK
Oregon State Beavers↓ 5 losses
Average scoring margin: -13.8 over this run.
No next opponent in the verified eight-day schedule.
REBOUND CASE Insufficient data Model fair moneyline
CURRENT PRICE Unavailable
No verified price edge The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
LOSING STREAK
Rutgers Scarlet Knights↓ 4 losses
Average scoring margin: -15.0 over this run.
No next opponent in the verified eight-day schedule.
REBOUND CASE Insufficient data Model fair moneyline
CURRENT PRICE Unavailable
No verified price edge The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
LOSING STREAK
Sam Houston Bearkats↓ 4 losses
Average scoring margin: -15.8 over this run.
No next opponent in the verified eight-day schedule.
REBOUND CASE Insufficient data Model fair moneyline
CURRENT PRICE Unavailable
No verified price edge The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
LOSING STREAK
Northern Illinois Huskies↓ 4 losses
Average scoring margin: -16.0 over this run.
No next opponent in the verified eight-day schedule.
REBOUND CASE Insufficient data Model fair moneyline
CURRENT PRICE Unavailable
No verified price edge The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
LOSING STREAK
Utah State Aggies↓ 4 losses
Average scoring margin: -7.0 over this run.
No next opponent in the verified eight-day schedule.
REBOUND CASE Insufficient data Model fair moneyline
CURRENT PRICE Unavailable
No verified price edge The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Edition coverage and sources 138 teams · 138 team histories · 288 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.
Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.