College Football — September 20 — Morning Scout recovery
3 morning leans restored to the September 20 research board; no new official position established.
September 20, 2026 — College Football
Recovery published: 2026-09-20T20:56:36.049Z. Morning source publication: 2026-09-20T12:28:00.000Z.
Delivery status
The September 20 Grade the Slate and Final Positions releases remain delayed. This is a Morning Scout recovery only and must not be treated as either missing report. Published selections remain visible below at their original terms.
| Rank | Selection | Odds | Event date | Status | Units | Positive Edge | Devil Risk |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Liberty +1.5 | -110 | 2026-09-24 | LOCKED LEAN | 0u | Morning short-underdog thesis. | Early-week quarterback and line uncertainty. |
| 2 | Ole Miss +2.5 | -105 | 2026-09-26 | LOCKED LEAN | 0u | Morning ranked-underdog thesis. | Below the field-goal watch target. |
| 3 | Vanderbilt +9.5 | -110 | 2026-09-26 | LOCKED LEAN | 0u | Morning conference-underdog thesis. | Below the ten-point watch target. |
Liberty
Ole Miss
VanderbiltThe September 20 report covers the upcoming week; the three leans have future event dates shown explicitly. No new official position was established by the morning scout. This repair does not manufacture one to satisfy the weekend target. Yesterday's SMU official loss and both published CFB lean wins remain in the September 19 settlement report; they are not relabeled as today's picks.
SMUThese are preserved original selections. Results not verified in a settlement entry remain ungraded; absence of a grade never means a selection disappeared. No fresh pregame analysis or 6 a.m. delivery is claimed for this late repair.
Tracking correction
September 19 official settlements include Mets ML WIN (+0.4167u) and SMU ML LOSS (-0.50u). The NFL position has a September 20 event date. Earlier claims that all three sports had zero September 19 published exposure were incorrect. See the original dated settlement reports for verified results and unresolved items. Published wins and losses remain in history.
Full morning analysis — original preserved
The original text below is retained as published. The correction above governs carried positions and settlement totals.
ChetBets College Football — Morning Scout
Sunday, September 20, 2026
No Sunday FBS game | Rolling board through Saturday, September 26 | Official wagers: NONE | Official exposure: 0.00u
AUDIT AND THREE-PASS PREFLIGHT
The September 20 rolling report preserves the recovered official subtotal at 0–0–0 and 0.00u risked for September 15–19, with September 13–14 unresolved. Historical Week 3 watches remain locked at their original terms and are now EXPIRED; none is retroactively promoted.
Pass 1 — full search: the entire verified Week 4 FBS schedule was screened. Pass 2 — adversarial review: large market moves, quarterback/line availability, early weather uncertainty and favorite tax were applied. Pass 3 — verification state: current candidate prices and real future game dates were rechecked. This Scout issues no official position.
TODAY'S SLATE
No FBS game is scheduled Sunday. No same-day game is fabricated and no official position is issued.
SEVEN-DAY BOARD
DAYSchedule: CBS Sports Week 4. Prices: CBS Sports Week 4 odds at approximately 5:20 a.m. PT. Every game is marked LEAN ONLY or PASS.
Thursday, September 24
| Game | Current market | Decision |
|---|---|---|
| Liberty @ Coastal Carolina | LIB +1.5 -110; total 53.5 | LEAN ONLY — Liberty +1.5 -110, 0u. Target +2.5 not reached; current price is the maximum review line. |
Coastal CarolinaFriday, September 25
| Game | Current market | Decision |
|---|---|---|
| Army @ Temple | Army -3.5 -102; 50.5 | PASS — road favorite past three. |
| Navy @ UAB | Navy -11.5 -110; 54.5 | PASS — double-digit road tax. |
| Howard @ Rutgers | No verified market | PASS — no executable price. |
| Northwestern @ Indiana | Indiana -23.5 -110; 47.5 | PASS — large favorite with no injury/lineup confirmation yet. |
| Clemson @ California | Clemson -1.5 -110; 48.5 | PASS — cross-country near coin flip, no clear edge. |
Army
Temple
Navy
UAB
Howard
Rutgers
Northwestern
Indiana
Clemson
CaliforniaSaturday, September 26
| Game | Current market | Decision |
|---|---|---|
| Sam Houston @ Texas Tech | No verified market | PASS |
| Bucknell @ Pittsburgh | No verified market | PASS |
| Colorado @ Baylor | No verified market | PASS |
| Colorado State @ UTSA | No verified market | PASS |
| Illinois @ Ohio State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Ball State @ Kent State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| San Diego State @ Toledo | No verified market | PASS |
| Texas @ Tennessee | TENN +5.5 -110; 57.5 | PASS — moved from +6.5 open; wait for availability before laying claim to value. |
| UNLV @ Akron | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Virginia Tech @ Boston College | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Wake Forest @ Louisville | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| South Alabama @ Kentucky | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Lindenwood @ Eastern Michigan | No verified market | PASS |
| UCLA @ Maryland | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Northern Illinois @ Georgia State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Notre Dame @ Purdue | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Central Arkansas @ Florida State | No verified market | PASS |
| Hawaii @ Wyoming | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Gardner-Webb @ Marshall | No verified market | PASS |
| William & Mary @ Duke | No verified market | PASS |
| Utah @ Iowa State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| UConn @ Miami (Ohio) | No verified market | PASS |
| TCU @ UCF | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Stonehill @ Ohio | No verified market | PASS |
| Robert Morris @ Buffalo | No verified market | PASS |
| Oklahoma @ Georgia | UGA -13.5 -115; OKLA +14 -110 | PASS — seven-point move from the opener demands injury/news reconciliation. |
| New Mexico @ New Mexico State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Ole Miss @ Florida | MISS +2.5 -105; 58.5 | LEAN ONLY — Ole Miss +2.5 -105, 0u. Maximum playable line reached; +3 target not reached. |
| Iowa @ Michigan | Michigan -4.5 area | PASS — no verified candidate price advantage. |
| Boise State @ Western Michigan | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| NC Central @ East Carolina | No verified market | PASS |
| Houston @ Georgia Southern | No verified market | PASS |
| Vanderbilt @ Auburn | VAN +9.5 -110 | LEAN ONLY — Vanderbilt +9.5 -110, 0u. Maximum playable line reached; +10 target not reached. |
| Wisconsin @ Penn State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| South Florida @ Bowling Green | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Nebraska @ Michigan State | MSU +4.5 -110 | PASS — line moved through the +5.5 opener; wait on availability. |
| Incarnate Word @ Texas State | No verified market | PASS |
| LIU @ FIU | No verified market | PASS |
| James Madison @ Old Dominion | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Delaware @ Virginia | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Louisiana @ Charlotte | No verified market | PASS |
| Central Michigan @ Miami (Fla.) | MIA -41.5 -115 | PASS — extreme favorite tax. |
| Mercyhurst @ Western Kentucky | No verified market | PASS |
| Kennesaw State @ Arkansas State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Kansas State @ Cincinnati | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State | JXST -8.5 -110; 53.5 | PASS — four-point move from opener needs reconciliation. |
| Oklahoma State @ West Virginia | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| South Carolina @ Alabama | BAMA -11.5 -110; 55.5 | PASS — favorite price and open/current disagreement. |
| Southern Miss @ Tulane | No verified market | PASS |
| Texas A&M @ LSU | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS — prior large move requires availability review. |
| Troy @ Utah State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Oregon @ USC | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS — large move from opener requires quarterback/injury reconciliation. |
| Houston Christian @ North Texas | No verified market | PASS |
| Arizona @ Washington State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Appalachian State @ NC State | Market not retained as a candidate | PASS |
| Missouri @ Mississippi State | MSST -3 -110; 58.5 | PASS — spread moved from -1.5 and no availability edge yet. |
| Tulsa @ Arkansas | ARK -9.5 -105; 52.5 | PASS — favorite still priced beyond one score. |
| FAU @ UL Monroe | No verified market | PASS |
| UMass @ Sacramento State | No verified market | PASS |
| Oregon State @ UTEP | ORST -10.5 -115; 54.5 | PASS — road double-digit favorite. |
| Missouri State @ SMU | SMU -34.5 -110; 59.5 | PASS — extreme favorite tax. |
| Rice @ Fresno State | FRES -12.5 -110; 44.5 | PASS — line moved through key numbers. |
| Air Force @ Nevada | No verified market | PASS |
| Georgia Tech @ Stanford | GT -5.5 -105; 47.5 | PASS — road favorite with no availability confirmation. |
| Minnesota @ Washington | No verified market | PASS |
Sam Houston
Texas Tech
Bucknell
Pittsburgh
Colorado
Baylor
Colorado State
UTSA
Illinois
Ohio State
Ball State
Kent State
San Diego State
Toledo
Texas
Tennessee
UNLV
Akron
Virginia Tech
Boston College
Wake Forest
Louisville
South Alabama
Kentucky
Lindenwood
Eastern Michigan
UCLA
Maryland
Northern Illinois
Georgia State
Notre Dame
Purdue
Central Arkansas
Florida State
Wyoming
Gardner-Webb
Marshall
William & Mary
Duke
Utah
Iowa State
UConn
Miami
Ohio
TCU
UCF
Stonehill
Robert Morris
Buffalo
Oklahoma
Georgia
New Mexico
New Mexico State
Florida
Iowa
Michigan
Boise State
Western Michigan
NC Central
East Carolina
Houston
Georgia Southern
Auburn
Wisconsin
Penn State
South Florida
Bowling Green
Nebraska
Michigan State
Incarnate Word
Texas State
LIU
FIU
James Madison
Old Dominion
Delaware
Virginia
Louisiana
Charlotte
Central Michigan
Mercyhurst
Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State
Arkansas State
Kansas State
Cincinnati
Middle Tennessee
Jacksonville State
Oklahoma State
West Virginia
South Carolina
Alabama
Southern Miss
Tulane
Texas A&M
LSU
Troy
Utah State
Oregon
USC
Houston Christian
North Texas
Arizona
Washington State
NC State
Missouri
Mississippi State
Tulsa
Arkansas
FAU
UL Monroe
UMass
Sacramento State
Oregon State
UTEP
Missouri State
Rice
Fresno State
Air Force
Nevada
Georgia Tech
Stanford
Minnesota
WashingtonPOSITION WATCH
| Watch ID | Game date/time | Matchup | Market | Prior | Current / source / timestamp | Fixed target | Maximum playable | Thesis | Invalidation | Next recheck | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB-2026-W4-LIB-CCU-LIB+2.5 | Sep 24, 4:30 p.m. PT | Liberty @ Coastal Carolina | Liberty spread | New | +1.5 -110, CBS, Sep 20 5:20 a.m. PT | LIB +2.5 -110 | LIB +1.5 -110 | Short road dog in a near pick'em | Liberty QB/OL downgrade or worse juice | Sep 23, 5:00 p.m. PT | OPEN |
| CFB-2026-W4-MISS-FLA-MISS+3 | Sep 26, 12:30 p.m. PT | Ole Miss @ Florida | Ole Miss spread | New | +2.5 -105, CBS, Sep 20 5:20 a.m. PT | MISS +3 -110 | MISS +2.5 -110 | Ranked underdog with key-number upside | Ole Miss QB/OL downgrade or line below +2.5 | Sep 25, 5:00 p.m. PT | OPEN |
| CFB-2026-W4-VAN-AUB-VAN+10 | Sep 26, 1:15 p.m. PT | Vanderbilt @ Auburn | Vanderbilt spread | New | +9.5 -110, CBS, Sep 20 5:20 a.m. PT | VAN +10 -110 | VAN +9.5 -110 | Double-digit threshold in a conference matchup | Vanderbilt QB/OL downgrade or line below +9.5 | Sep 25, 5:00 p.m. PT | OPEN |
| CFB-2026-W3-UNC-CLEM-UNC+3.5 | Sep 19 | North Carolina @ Clemson | UNC spread | Event completed | Historical only | UNC +3.5 -110 | UNC +3 -110 | Preserved prior watch | Event completed | Closed | EXPIRED |
| CFB-2026-W3-SMU-LOU-SMU+3 | Sep 19 | SMU @ Louisville | SMU spread | Event completed | Historical only | SMU +3 -110 | SMU +2.5 -110 | Preserved prior watch | Event completed | Closed | EXPIRED |
| CFB-2026-W3-LSU-MISS-MISS+3.5 | Sep 19 | LSU @ Ole Miss | Ole Miss spread | Event completed | Historical only | MISS +3.5 -110 | MISS +3 -110 | Preserved prior watch | Event completed | Closed | EXPIRED |
| CFB-2026-W3-JMU-SDSU-JMU+2.5 | Sep 19 | James Madison @ San Diego State | JMU spread | Event completed | Historical only | JMU +2.5 -110 | JMU +2 -110 | Preserved prior watch | Event completed | Closed | EXPIRED |
UNCLINE MOVEMENT
Ole Miss is +2.5 -105, short of the new fixed +3 target. Vanderbilt is +9.5 -110, short of +10. Liberty is +1.5 -110, short of +2.5. Oklahoma–Georgia and Oregon–USC show large open-to-current changes and are passed until the underlying news is reconciled. No target is moved.
INJURY / AVAILABILITY WATCH
Week 4 depth-chart and quarterback confirmations remain incomplete this early. The largest movement games receive automatic holds. Every lean/watch requires quarterback, offensive-line, weather and late-availability verification before Grade or Final review.
NEXT CHECKPOINTS
Recheck Liberty by Wednesday evening, then Ole Miss and Vanderbilt after Friday availability reports. The weekend target is research guidance, not permission to manufacture a position. A target hit triggers formal review, not automatic promotion.
No official wager. No AUTO_PICKS change. No model change.