CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCELive rows use the current schedule and market feed. They are research observations, not published official positions.
Market checked Sep 30, 5:54 PM PT · refreshes every 15 minutes
Losing streaks of three or more games, with the next matchup and the price test for a rebound or a fade.
Average scoring margin: -9.9 over this run.
Indianapolis Colts at Washington Commanders
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$17.21 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -10.8 over this run.
Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Baseline simulated rebound return: −$32.79 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -11.0 over this run.
Detroit Lions at Carolina Panthers
Baseline simulated rebound return: +$8.65 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -11.3 over this run.
Los Angeles Chargers at Seattle Seahawks
Baseline simulated rebound return: +$12.29 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
Average scoring margin: -18.3 over this run.
Tennessee Titans at Baltimore Ravens
Baseline simulated rebound return: +$44.39 per $100 risked. The streak does not create a “due to win” effect. Confirm personnel, rest and matchup changes before treating a model discrepancy as actionable.
32 teams · 32 team histories · 124 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.
Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.
Indianapolis Colts
Green Bay Packers
Carolina Panthers
Los Angeles Chargers
Tennessee Titans