CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCELive rows use the current schedule and market feed. They are research observations, not published official positions.
Market checked Sep 30, 5:54 PM PT · refreshes every 15 minutes
DraftKings opening line → latest retrieved pre-game line. Historical comparisons use the same team, direction, and moves between 50% and 150% of today’s magnitude, within up to 30 captured games. Small samples are descriptive, not validated signals.
-31.0 implied-probability pp
New York Giants's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
+17.3 implied-probability pp
Seattle Seahawks's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +10.5% ROI.
-15.5 implied-probability pp
Chicago Bears's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
-13.9 implied-probability pp
Washington Commanders's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
1 wins, 1 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +15.0% ROI.
+12.5 implied-probability pp
Buffalo Bills's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
+9.5 points
The spread moved away from New York Giants. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
-9.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
-8.8 implied-probability pp
Tampa Bay Buccaneers's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +64.5% ROI.
-8.1 implied-probability pp
Philadelphia Eagles's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
+7.7 implied-probability pp
Baltimore Ravens's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
0 wins, 2 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: -100.0% ROI.
+6.4 implied-probability pp
Minnesota Vikings's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
2 wins, 0 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +141.3% ROI.
+6.0 points
The posted total moved higher. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: +95.2% ROI.
+5.0 points
The spread moved away from Washington Commanders. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
2 wins, 0 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +93.5% ROI.
+5.0 points
The spread moved away from Chicago Bears. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
-5.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
-5.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
0 wins, 1 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: -100.0% ROI.
+4.4 implied-probability pp
Houston Texans's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +6.9% ROI.
-4.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
3 wins, 2 losses in 5 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: +13.4% ROI.
+4.0 points
The posted total moved higher. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: +90.9% ROI.
-4.0 points
The spread moved toward Seattle Seahawks. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +90.9% ROI.
-3.5 points
The spread moved toward Buffalo Bills. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
0 wins, 1 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: -100.0% ROI.
+3.5 implied-probability pp
Las Vegas Raiders's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +180.0% ROI.
-3.0 points
The spread moved toward Baltimore Ravens. A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
0 wins, 1 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: -100.0% ROI.
-3.0 points
The spread moved toward Minnesota Vikings. A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
2 wins, 0 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +90.9% ROI.
-3.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
2 wins, 0 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: +91.1% ROI.
-2.4 implied-probability pp
Carolina Panthers's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
+2.2 implied-probability pp
Cincinnati Bengals's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
0 wins, 1 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: -100.0% ROI.
+2.2 implied-probability pp
San Francisco 49ers's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
+2.2 implied-probability pp
New Orleans Saints's market-implied chance moved up. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
-2.1 implied-probability pp
Cleveland Browns's market-implied chance moved down. Check whether the current price still offers value; the earlier price is no longer available.
1 wins, 1 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +35.0% ROI.
-2.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
2 wins, 2 losses in 4 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: -4.1% ROI.
-2.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
1 wins, 3 losses in 4 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: -51.2% ROI.
+2.0 points
The spread moved away from Tampa Bay Buccaneers. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
0 wins, 1 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: -100.0% ROI.
+2.0 points
The posted total moved higher. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
1 wins, 3 losses in 4 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: -53.3% ROI.
+1.5 points
The spread moved away from Philadelphia Eagles. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
-1.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: +89.3% ROI.
-1.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
3 wins, 1 losses in 4 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: +43.6% ROI.
-1.0 points
The posted total moved lower. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
1 wins, 0 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: +87.0% ROI.
+1.0 points
The posted total moved higher. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
0 wins, 1 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: -100.0% ROI.
-1.0 points
The spread moved toward Las Vegas Raiders. A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
+1.0 points
The posted total moved higher. Scoring expectations changed, but weather, lineup news and betting activity cannot be distinguished from price alone.
2 wins, 0 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 Over bets at the closing price: +95.3% ROI.
-0.5 points
The spread moved toward Houston Texans. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
2 wins, 0 losses in 2 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: +95.2% ROI.
-0.5 points
The spread moved toward San Francisco 49ers. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
No comparable priced games found in the observed sample.
+0.5 points
The spread moved away from Carolina Panthers. The move touches a common football margin (3 or 7). A price change does not reveal who placed wagers.
0 wins, 1 losses in 1 priced games. Flat $100 team-side bets at the closing price: -100.0% ROI.
Price alone cannot identify large bettors or institutions. Confirming reverse line movement requires matched, timestamped ticket shares and price changes from the same market and book. That matching history is not yet available, so these reports do not label ordinary price changes as verified sharp or institutional action.
32 teams · 32 team histories · 124 games with archived DraftKings markets. ATS/ROI/trends use the last 10 completed games per team; modeling uses up to 30. Previous-season games can be included and all dates remain visible in source records.
Results and boxscores: ESPN. Opening and current/archived prices: DraftKings via ESPN. Team-total prices, player-prop closing lines and verified bettor identities are not supplied by this connection.
New York Giants
Arizona Cardinals
Seattle Seahawks
Los Angeles Chargers
Chicago Bears
New York Jets
Washington Commanders
Indianapolis Colts
Buffalo Bills
New England Patriots
Green Bay Packers
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Philadelphia Eagles
Los Angeles Rams
Baltimore Ravens
Tennessee Titans
Minnesota Vikings
Miami Dolphins
Detroit Lions
Carolina Panthers
Houston Texans
Dallas Cowboys
Kansas City Chiefs
Las Vegas Raiders
Cincinnati Bengals
Jacksonville Jaguars
San Francisco 49ers
Denver Broncos
New Orleans Saints
Atlanta Falcons
Cleveland Browns
Pittsburgh Steelers