College Football Morning Scout — September 21, 2026
No Monday FBS game; complete Week 4 grouped board and three persistent fixed-target watches, no official wagers.
ChetBets College Football — Morning Scout
Monday, September 21, 2026
No Monday FBS game | Week 4 board through September 26 | Official wagers: NONE
THREE-PASS RESEARCH CHECK
Pass 1 — candidate search: the verified current-date schedule and available team, total and player markets were compared. Pass 2 — adversarial review: availability, weather, role uncertainty, price, favorite tax and correlated exposure were applied. Pass 3 — verification state: exact start times and any quoted prices below were checked again against the linked source. These are three reviews of the same evidence, not independent evidence. This Morning Scout creates no official wager, no units and no model-weight change.
TODAY'S SLATE
No FBS game is scheduled Monday. No same-day slate or retrospective selection is fabricated.
SEVEN-DAY BOARD
DAYSchedule and prices: CBS Sports Week 4, about 5:00 a.m. PT. Every verified game is either a watch or pass.
| Date | Complete verified board | Decision |
|---|---|---|
| Thu Sep 24 | Liberty @ Coastal Carolina | WATCH — Liberty target failed after the market flipped from +1.5 to -2.5. PASS at current price. |
| Fri Sep 25 | Army @ Temple; Navy @ UAB; Howard @ Rutgers; Northwestern @ Indiana; Clemson @ California | PASS pending availability; Temple +3.5 -120, Navy -7 -115 and Clemson +1.5 -111 are all price-sensitive. |
| Sat Sep 26, early | Texas @ Tennessee; Colorado State @ UTSA; Sam Houston @ Texas Tech; Bucknell @ Pittsburgh; Colorado @ Baylor; Illinois @ Ohio State; Ball State @ Kent State; San Diego State @ Toledo; UNLV @ Akron; Virginia Tech @ Boston College; Wake Forest @ Louisville; South Alabama @ Kentucky; Lindenwood @ Eastern Michigan; UCLA @ Maryland; Northern Illinois @ Georgia State; Notre Dame @ Purdue; Central Arkansas @ Florida State; Hawaii @ Wyoming; Gardner-Webb @ Marshall; William & Mary @ Duke | PASS pending final depth charts and prices. Tennessee +3.5 -105 is no longer the prior +6.5 opener and is not chased. |
| Sat Sep 26, middle | Utah @ Iowa State; UConn @ Miami (OH); TCU @ UCF; Stonehill @ Ohio; Robert Morris @ Buffalo; Oklahoma @ Georgia; New Mexico @ New Mexico State; Ole Miss @ Florida; Iowa @ Michigan; Boise State @ Western Michigan; NC Central @ East Carolina; Houston @ Georgia Southern; Vanderbilt @ Auburn; Wisconsin @ Penn State; South Florida @ Bowling Green; Nebraska @ Michigan State; Incarnate Word @ Texas State; LIU @ FIU | WATCH Ole Miss +3.5 -115 and Vanderbilt +9.5 -110; all others PASS. |
| Sat Sep 26, late | James Madison @ Old Dominion; Delaware @ Virginia; Louisiana @ Charlotte; Central Michigan @ Miami; Mercyhurst @ Western Kentucky; Kennesaw State @ Arkansas State; Kansas State @ Cincinnati; Middle Tennessee @ Jacksonville State; Oklahoma State @ West Virginia; South Carolina @ Alabama; Southern Miss @ Tulane; Texas A&M @ LSU; Troy @ Utah State; Oregon @ USC; Houston Christian @ North Texas; Arizona @ Washington State; Appalachian State @ NC State; Missouri @ Mississippi State; Tulsa @ Arkansas; FAU @ UL Monroe; UMass @ Sacramento State; Oregon State @ UTEP; Missouri State @ SMU; Rice @ Fresno State; Air Force @ Nevada; Georgia Tech @ Stanford; Minnesota @ Washington | PASS pending final markets and availability. |
Liberty
Coastal Carolina
Army
Temple
Navy
UAB
Howard
Rutgers
Northwestern
Indiana
Clemson
California
Texas
Tennessee
Colorado State
UTSA
Sam Houston
Texas Tech
Bucknell
Pittsburgh
Colorado
Baylor
Illinois
Ohio State
Ball State
Kent State
San Diego State
Toledo
UNLV
Akron
Virginia Tech
Boston College
Wake Forest
Louisville
South Alabama
Kentucky
Lindenwood
Eastern Michigan
UCLA
Maryland
Northern Illinois
Georgia State
Notre Dame
Purdue
Central Arkansas
Florida State
Wyoming
Gardner-Webb
Marshall
William & Mary
Duke
Utah
Iowa State
UConn
Miami (OH)
TCU
UCF
Stonehill
Ohio
Robert Morris
Buffalo
Oklahoma
Georgia
New Mexico
New Mexico State
Ole Miss
Florida
Iowa
Michigan
Boise State
Western Michigan
NC Central
East Carolina
Houston
Georgia Southern
Vanderbilt
Auburn
Wisconsin
Penn State
South Florida
Bowling Green
Nebraska
Michigan State
Incarnate Word
Texas State
LIU
FIU
James Madison
Old Dominion
Delaware
Virginia
Louisiana
Charlotte
Central Michigan
Miami
Mercyhurst
Western Kentucky
Kennesaw State
Arkansas State
Kansas State
Cincinnati
Middle Tennessee
Jacksonville State
Oklahoma State
West Virginia
South Carolina
Alabama
Southern Miss
Tulane
Texas A&M
LSU
Troy
Utah State
Oregon
USC
Houston Christian
North Texas
Arizona
Washington State
NC State
Missouri
Mississippi State
Tulsa
Arkansas
FAU
UL Monroe
UMass
Sacramento State
Oregon State
UTEP
Missouri State
SMU
Rice
Fresno State
Air Force
Nevada
Georgia Tech
Stanford
Minnesota
WashingtonPOSITION WATCH
| Watch ID | Game | Current/source/time | Fixed target | Maximum playable | Thesis / invalidation | Next check | Status |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CFB-2026-W4-LIB-CCU-LIB+2.5 | Liberty @ Coastal, Sep 24 | LIB -2.5 -110, CBS, 5:00 a.m. PT; prior +1.5 -110 | LIB +2.5 -110 | LIB +1.5 -110 | Market crossed four points through zero; do not chase. | Closed unless original target reappears for verified news | PASSED |
| CFB-2026-W4-MISS-FLA-MISS+3 | Ole Miss @ Florida, Sep 26 | MISS +3.5 -115, CBS, 5:00 a.m. PT; prior +2.5 -105 | MISS +3 -110 | MISS +2.5 -110 | Point target reached but price exceeds target/max; QB/OL downgrade invalidates. | Sep 25, 5:00 p.m. PT | OPEN — point triggered, price not triggered |
| CFB-2026-W4-VAN-AUB-VAN+10 | Vanderbilt @ Auburn, Sep 26 | VAN +9.5 -110, CBS, 5:00 a.m. PT; unchanged | VAN +10 -110 | VAN +9.5 -110 | Conference underdog; line below +9.5 or QB/OL downgrade invalidates. | Sep 25, 5:00 p.m. PT | OPEN |
LINE MOVEMENT / AVAILABILITY / NEXT CHECKPOINTS
Liberty's move from +1.5 to -2.5 destroys the original underdog thesis at the current number. Ole Miss gained the key +3 but only at -115, so the exact trigger is not met. Vanderbilt is unchanged. Recheck quarterbacks, offensive lines and weather after Friday reports; no target moves.
No official wager. No AUTO_PICKS change. No model change.