CHETBETSDATA · DRIVEN · DOMINANCE
OFFICIAL PLAYS
Home
OFFICIAL PLAYS · ALL SPORTS

THE CARD.
OFFICIAL ONLY.

2026-09-30 · Pending official positions and the latest published research leans stay on this board until a newer report supersedes them.

0 OFFICIAL PLAYS0u TOTAL UNITS0 ACTIVE SPORTS
CANONICAL CHETBETS CARD

OFFICIAL PLAYS

Every play below has cleared Final Positions and counts toward the official ChetBets record.

0 OFFICIAL PLAYSNO PENDING OFFICIAL WAGERS ARE ON THE CURRENT BOARD.

No action is an official result. Noted Leans below remain research only and do not count toward the betting record.

LOCKED PUBLICATION HISTORY · NOT OFFICIAL WAGERS

PUBLISHED LEANS

Original dated selections stay visible at their published prices. Later availability and settlement updates are appended in the full report.

IMMUTABLE HISTORY: A published lean is never deleted or rewritten. Original prices are historical publication records, not a claim that the market is still available. Open the full report for timestamped updates.
4 PUBLISHED LEANS2 SPORTS WITH LEANS0u OFFICIAL EXPOSURE
MLB2 PUBLISHED LEANS
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

One official team-market position, two 0u leans, complete 16-game decisions.

#1
MATCHUP · Time listed in full report

Milwaukee Brewers ML

LEAN ONLY
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMilwaukee Brewers MLGRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ODDS-138
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
WHY CHET LIKES IT

See the full report for the supporting case.

DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

READ FULL LEAN ANALYSIS →
#2
MATCHUP · Time listed in full report

Minnesota Twins ML

LEAN ONLY
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMinnesota Twins MLGRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ODDS-148
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
WHY CHET LIKES IT

See the full report for the supporting case.

DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

READ FULL LEAN ANALYSIS →
NFL2 PUBLISHED LEANS
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

No game today; full Week 4 board and two conditional 0u leans.

#1
MATCHUP · Time listed in full report

Washington Commanders +7

LEAN ONLY
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANWashington Commanders +7GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
WHY CHET LIKES IT

See the full report for the supporting case.

DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

READ FULL LEAN ANALYSIS →
#2
MATCHUP · Time listed in full report

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

LEAN ONLY
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPittsburgh Steelers +3.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
WHY CHET LIKES IT

See the full report for the supporting case.

DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

READ FULL LEAN ANALYSIS →
NCAAFREPORT DELAYED
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

3 morning leans restored to the September 20 research board; no new official position established.

CURRENT REPORT MISSING — LEANS NOT CONFIRMEDThe current research report has not been published. Missing reporting is not a no-lean decision. Prior dated selections remain in the archive.READ FULL REPORT →
NBAREPORT DELAYED
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

Truthful current-slate or no-event coverage; no official position.

CURRENT REPORT MISSING — LEANS NOT CONFIRMEDThe current research report has not been published. Missing reporting is not a no-lean decision. Prior dated selections remain in the archive.READ FULL REPORT →
NHLREPORT DELAYED
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

Truthful current-slate or no-event coverage; no official position.

CURRENT REPORT MISSING — LEANS NOT CONFIRMEDThe current research report has not been published. Missing reporting is not a no-lean decision. Prior dated selections remain in the archive.READ FULL REPORT →
NCAABREPORT DELAYED
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

Truthful current-slate or no-event coverage; no official position.

CURRENT REPORT MISSING — LEANS NOT CONFIRMEDThe current research report has not been published. Missing reporting is not a no-lean decision. Prior dated selections remain in the archive.READ FULL REPORT →
MMA · UFCREPORT DELAYED
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

Truthful current-slate or no-event coverage; no official position.

CURRENT REPORT MISSING — LEANS NOT CONFIRMEDThe current research report has not been published. Missing reporting is not a no-lean decision. Prior dated selections remain in the archive.READ FULL REPORT →
TENNISREPORT DELAYED
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

Truthful current-slate or no-event coverage; no official position.

CURRENT REPORT MISSING — LEANS NOT CONFIRMEDThe current research report has not been published. Missing reporting is not a no-lean decision. Prior dated selections remain in the archive.READ FULL REPORT →
SOCCERREPORT DELAYED
FULL PUBLISHED RESEARCH ↗

Full 105-event board analyzed with one decision per event.

CURRENT REPORT MISSING — LEANS NOT CONFIRMEDThe current research report has not been published. Missing reporting is not a no-lean decision. Prior dated selections remain in the archive.READ FULL REPORT →
PERMANENT DATED ARCHIVE · 0u RESEARCH HISTORY

LOCKED HISTORICAL LEANS

Every prior published lean remains visible under its original report date, market, price, units, and classification. These cards are historical records, not currently bettable recommendations.

69 HISTORICAL LEANS17 DATED REPORTS0u OFFICIAL EXPOSURE
MLB2 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

One official team-market position, two 0u leans, complete 16-game decisions.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-23 · Time listed in full report

Milwaukee Brewers ML

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMilwaukee Brewers MLGRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-138
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-23 · Time listed in full report

Minnesota Twins ML

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMinnesota Twins MLGRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-148
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
NFL2 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

No game today; full Week 4 board and two conditional 0u leans.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-23 · Time listed in full report

Washington Commanders +7

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANWashington Commanders +7GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-23 · Time listed in full report

Pittsburgh Steelers +3.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPittsburgh Steelers +3.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
MLB3 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

3 morning leans restored to the September 20 research board; no new official position established.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Phillies -1.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPhillies -1.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS+101
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Avoids larger moneyline cost.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Two-run margin, divisional and weather risk.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Padres -1.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPadres -1.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS+160
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Plus-money margin-of-victory thesis.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

One-run win and lineup-rest risk.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Mariners -1.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMariners -1.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-104
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Morning pitching matchup thesis.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Coors variance, pitching and storm risk.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
NFL5 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

September 20 research board: one carried official at 0.50u and five distinct published leans; original terms retained.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Cincinnati Bengals +2.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANCincinnati Bengals +2.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-102
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

September 19 published lean; preserved.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Original availability uncertainty; never retroactively removed.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

New York Jets +3.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANNew York Jets +3.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

September 19 published lean; preserved.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Defensive injuries; separate from the later moneyline lean.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

New York Jets ML

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANNew York Jets MLGRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS+154
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

September 20 morning home-underdog thesis.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Correlated with the spread lean; distinct market, 0u.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Tennessee Titans +7

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANTennessee Titans +7GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Full-touchdown protection in morning assessment.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Opponent strength and heat.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#5
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Jacksonville Jaguars ML

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANJacksonville Jaguars MLGRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS+130
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Morning plus-money underdog thesis.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Road, altitude and weather risk.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
NCAAF3 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

3 morning leans restored to the September 20 research board; no new official position established.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Liberty +1.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANLiberty +1.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-110
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Morning short-underdog thesis.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Early-week quarterback and line uncertainty.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Ole Miss +2.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOle Miss +2.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Morning ranked-underdog thesis.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Below the field-goal watch target.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-20 · Time listed in full report

Vanderbilt +9.5

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANVanderbilt +9.5GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-110
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Morning conference-underdog thesis.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Below the ten-point watch target.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
MLB7 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

All 15 games graded. Four Morning Scout leans remain locked at their original terms; two remain inside their action ranges, while Yankees pricing and the Lopez prop require no-action updates.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · 1:10 PM PT

PHI @ NYM

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMets full-game moneyline -120GRADE THE SLATE · CBS morning board 5:05 a.m. PT
ORIGINAL ODDS-120
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGEQUALIFIES
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Scott/Painter starter gap at a moderate original price.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Philadelphia’s offense and divisional familiarity.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · 5:40 PM PT

MIA @ SD

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPadres -1.5 full-game +141GRADE THE SLATE · CBS morning board 5:05 a.m. PT
ORIGINAL ODDS+141
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGEQUALIFIES
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Wild-card urgency and Friday’s 8-2 form.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Eury Pérez and one-run-win variance.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · 5:10 PM PT

NYY @ ARI

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANYankees full-game moneyline -138GRADE THE SLATE · CBS morning board 5:05 a.m. PT
ORIGINAL ODDS-138
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGEMORNING EDGE ONLY
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Schlittler’s starter profile and New York’s 8-2 form.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Judge IL news and price deterioration.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · 3:10 PM PT

ATH @ CLE

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANJacob Lopez Over 4.5 strikeouts +114GRADE THE SLATE · CBS prop board 5:05 a.m. PT
ORIGINAL ODDS+114
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGEMORNING EDGE ONLY
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

4.8-K projection cleared the plus-money threshold.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Traffic and early-removal risk; current price unavailable.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · Time listed in full report

Mets ML -120

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMets ML -120GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-120
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · Time listed in full report

Padres -1.5 +141

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPadres -1.5 +141GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS+141
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · Time listed in full report

Yankees ML -138

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANYankees ML -138GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-138
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
NFL2 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

New release for Sunday's games: one official at 0.50u and two distinct 0u leans. Original watches remain unchanged.

#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · Time listed in full report

Cincinnati Bengals +2.5 (-102)

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANCincinnati Bengals +2.5 (-102)GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-102
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · Time listed in full report

New York Jets +3.5 (-105)

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANNew York Jets +3.5 (-105)GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
NCAAF2 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

New release: one official at 0.50u and two distinct 0u leans for upcoming Saturday games. No retroactive selections.

#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · Time listed in full report

Ole Miss +3 (-112)

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOle Miss +3 (-112)GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-112
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-19 · Time listed in full report

James Madison +2.5 (-115)

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANJames Madison +2.5 (-115)GRADE THE SLATE · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-115
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE—
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
MLB4 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

Fifteen games graded; four locked published research leans are preserved at their original prices, with 0.00u official exposure and later market updates recorded separately.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-18 · 3:40 p.m. PT

Cubs @ Reds

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANCubs full-game moneyline -126GRADE THE SLATE · CBS Sports consensus board
ORIGINAL ODDS-126
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+2.0
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Chicago's +143 run differential versus Cincinnati's -154 differential at a moderate favorite price.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Division-road variance and unconfirmed final lineups.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-18 · 4:05 p.m. PT

Brewers @ Orioles

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANBrewers full-game moneyline -138GRADE THE SLATE · CBS Sports consensus board
ORIGINAL ODDS-138
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+1.4
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Milwaukee's 95–58 record and +197 run differential create the slate's strongest team gap.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Milwaukee has clinched, so rest and bullpen priorities must be rechecked.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-18 · 6:40 p.m. PT

Marlins @ Padres

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPadres -1.5 full-game +112GRADE THE SLATE · CBS Sports consensus board
ORIGINAL ODDS+112
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+1.1
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

San Diego's 9–1 run and Miami's 31–44 road record support the plus-money run line.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

One-run-win and late-lineup variance remain material.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-18 · 3:40 p.m. PT

Royals @ Pirates

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPaul Skenes Over 5.5 strikeouts -130GRADE THE SLATE · CBS Sports prop board
ORIGINAL ODDS-130
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+1.0
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

The 6.2-strikeout projection clears the verified 5.5 threshold without full-game favorite tax.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Late-season workload, contact variance and -130 juice limit the margin.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
NCAAF1 LOCKED LEAN
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

All three Friday games graded; the locked Houston +7.5 -105 published lean is preserved at 0u, with later market updates recorded separately and no official exposure.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-18 · 5:00 p.m. PT

Houston @ Texas Tech

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANHouston +7.5 -105GRADE THE SLATE · CBS Sports college-football odds board
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE-0.5
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Houston is 2–0 and the underdog thesis remains directionally interesting.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

The fixed +10 trigger was never reached; the current number is beyond the +9.5 maximum.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
MLB8 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

Full 9-event board analyzed with one decision per event.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Minnesota Twins at Los Angeles Angels

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANLos Angeles Angels +1.5 (-163)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-163
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+31.8 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model -1.0 versus posted 1.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Boston Red Sox at Texas Rangers

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANTexas Rangers +1.5 (-144)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-144
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+30.2 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model -0.6 versus posted 1.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Kansas City Royals at Houston Astros

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANKansas City Royals +1.5 (-163)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-163
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+25.7 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model -0.6 versus posted 1.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOver 7.5 (-118)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-118
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+23.0 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 9.0 versus posted 7.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#5
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Philadelphia Phillies at New York Mets

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOver 8 (-114)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-114
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+19.4 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 9.2 versus posted 8.0

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#6
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANLos Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (-107)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-107
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+17.4 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model -2.4 versus posted -1.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#7
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMilwaukee Brewers moneyline -144GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-144
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+14.2 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

8.4 percentage-point model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#8
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Detroit Tigers at Chicago White Sox

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANDetroit Tigers +1.5 (-204)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-204
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+13.0 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model -0.6 versus posted 1.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
NFL1 LOCKED LEAN
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

Full 1-event board analyzed with one decision per event.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Detroit Lions at Buffalo Bills

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANUnder 54.5 (+100)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+100
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+10.4 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 52.6 versus posted 54.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
NCAAF1 LOCKED LEAN
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

Full 1-event board analyzed with one decision per event.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Syracuse Orange at Pittsburgh Panthers

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANSyracuse Orange moneyline +330GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+330
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+62.4 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

14.5 percentage-point model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
SOCCER8 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

Full 105-event board analyzed with one decision per event.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Club Deportivo Marathón at Alajuelense

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANClub Deportivo Marathón moneyline +390GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+390
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+124.8 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

25.5 percentage-point model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Cienciano del Cusco at Montevideo City Torque

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANCienciano del Cusco moneyline +475GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+475
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+74.0 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

12.9 percentage-point model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Norwich City at Manchester City

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANNorwich City +2.5 (-105)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+72.7 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 0.5 versus posted 2.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

GV San José at Bolívar

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANGV San José +2.5 (+105)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+50.4 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 1.5 versus posted 2.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#5
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Getafe at Real Betis

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANGetafe moneyline +500GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+500
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+50.2 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

8.4 percentage-point model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#6
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

NEC Nijmegen at Juventus

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANNEC Nijmegen +2.5 (-160)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-160
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+40.3 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 0.8 versus posted 2.5

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#7
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Cruz Azul Hidalgo at Durango

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANCruz Azul Hidalgo moneyline +280GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+280
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+36.2 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

9.5 percentage-point model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#8
PUBLISHED 2026-09-17 · Time listed in full report

Villarreal at Málaga

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANMálaga moneyline +270GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+270
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+33.9 modeled return per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

9.2 percentage-point model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Recency/score model is not calibrated for confirmed availability, lineup, weather, travel or rest.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
MLB8 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

Full 15-event board analyzed with one clear decision per event; no positions are official.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 10:15 AM

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOver 8 (-110)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-110
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+54.3 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 11.0 vs 8.0 posted

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 10:00 AM

Chicago White Sox at Cleveland Guardians

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOver 7 (-107)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-107
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+42.9 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 9.0 vs 7.0 posted

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 3:40 PM

Los Angeles Dodgers at Cincinnati Reds

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOver 8.5 (-101)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-101
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+41.1 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 10.2 vs 8.5 posted

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 4:40 PM

Atlanta Braves at Chicago Cubs

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOver 7.5 (-108)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-108
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+38.8 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 9.6 vs 7.5 posted

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#5
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 3:40 PM

Milwaukee Brewers at Pittsburgh Pirates

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOver 7.5 (-113)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-113
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+32.8 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 9.3 vs 7.5 posted

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#6
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 6:38 PM

Seattle Mariners at Los Angeles Angels

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANLos Angeles Angels +1.5 (-149)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-149
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+30.3 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model -0.8 vs 1.5 posted

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#7
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 3:45 PM

Philadelphia Phillies at Washington Nationals

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANWashington Nationals +1.5 (-105)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-105
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+27.9 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 0.4 vs 1.5 posted

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#8
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 3:40 PM

Athletics at Tampa Bay Rays

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOver 8 (-107)GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS-107
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+24.7 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

Model 9.3 vs 8.0 posted

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
SOCCER8 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

Full 88-event board analyzed with one clear decision per event; no positions are official.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 11:45 AM

Sheffield United at Fleetwood Town

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANFleetwood Town moneyline +380GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+380
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+130.7 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

27.2 pp model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 11:45 AM

Wolverhampton Wanderers at Everton

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANWolverhampton Wanderers moneyline +500GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+500
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+115.8 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

19.3 pp model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 12:00 PM

Brighton & Hove Albion at Manchester United

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANBrighton & Hove Albion moneyline +340GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+340
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+110.3 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

25.1 pp model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 12:00 PM

Benfica at AC Milan

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANBenfica moneyline +195GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+195
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+85.6 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

29.0 pp model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#5
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 3:30 PM

Grêmio at Botafogo

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANGrêmio moneyline +370GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+370
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+84.4 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

18.0 pp model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#6
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 3:00 PM

Santos at Atlético-MG

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANSantos moneyline +380GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+380
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+69.6 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

14.5 pp model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#7
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 4:00 PM

Orlando City SC at Columbus Crew

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANOrlando City SC moneyline +255GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+255
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+67.5 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

19.0 pp model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#8
PUBLISHED 2026-09-16 · Sep 16, 5:30 PM

Estudiantes de La Plata at Corinthians

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANEstudiantes de La Plata moneyline +330GRADE THE SLATE · DraftKings
ORIGINAL ODDS+330
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+61.0 modeled EV per $100
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

14.2 pp model/market gap

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

Unadjusted score/form model; lineup, injury, weather and rest inputs are not certified in this feed

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
MLB4 LOCKED LEANS
OPEN DATED REPORT ↗

Market-mix compliant proposal card: three team/game markets and one player prop, 3.75u proposed exposure. Final Positions remains the only official card.

#1
PUBLISHED 2026-09-15 · Time listed in full report

Seattle Mariners -1.5 full-game run line

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANSeattle Mariners -1.5 full-game run lineTEAM MARKET · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-101 DraftKings
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+1.9
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#2
PUBLISHED 2026-09-15 · Time listed in full report

Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 full-game run line

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANPhiladelphia Phillies -1.5 full-game run lineTEAM MARKET · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-125 DraftKings
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+1.6
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#3
PUBLISHED 2026-09-15 · Time listed in full report

Texas Rangers full-game moneyline

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANTexas Rangers full-game moneylineTEAM MARKET · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-131 DraftKings
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+0.8
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
#4
PUBLISHED 2026-09-15 · Time listed in full report

Yoshinobu Yamamoto Over 7.5 Pitcher Strikeouts

HISTORICAL LEAN · LOCKED
ORIGINAL PUBLISHED RESEARCH LEANYoshinobu Yamamoto Over 7.5 Pitcher StrikeoutsPLAYER PROP · Source listed in report
ORIGINAL ODDS-110 Fanatics
LEAN UNITS0u
NET EDGE+0.9
ORIGINAL SUPPORTING CASE

See the full report for the supporting case.

ORIGINAL DEVIL'S ADVOCATE

See the full report for the risk case.

OPEN ORIGINAL DATED ANALYSIS →
VERIFIED GRADED LEANS ONLY

LIFETIME NOTED LEANS

Pending and ungraded research leans are excluded until their results are verified in a Nightly Report Card.

9–7–0W–L–P56.3% WIN RATE · 5 GRADED DATES
⚾ MLB6–7–046.2%
🏈 NFL—NOT YET GRADED
🏟️ NCAAF3–0–0100.0%
🏀 NBA—NOT YET GRADED
🏒 NHL—NOT YET GRADED
🏀 NCAAB—NOT YET GRADED
🥊 MMA · UFC—NOT YET GRADED
🎾 TENNIS—NOT YET GRADED
⚽ SOCCER—NOT YET GRADED
OFFICIAL PLAYS come only from Final Positions and count toward official performance. PUBLISHED LEANS come from Grade the Slate, stay visible at their original line and classification, carry 0u official exposure, and are graded separately after settlement.